In: Statistics and Probability
A company that holds the DVD distribution rights to movies previously released only in theaters has the business objective of developing estimates of the sales revenue of DVDs. Toward this goal, a company analyst plans to use box office gross to predict DVD sales revenue. For 43 movies, the analyst collects the box office gross (in $millions) in the year that they were released and the DVD revenue (in $millions) in the following year and stores these data here.
What are the values for
(1) the proportion of variation in DVD sales revenue that is explained by box office gross ,
(2) the sum of squares Y ,
(3) the sum of squares predicted ,
(4) the sum of squares error ,
(5) the intercept A ,
(6) the slope b ,
(7) the predicted sales revenue (in $millions) for a movie DVD that had a box office gross of $100 million
(8) the standard error of estimate ? Hint: Use PHStat to obtain all the values and answers should be accurate to 4 decimal places.
Title | Gross | DVD Revenue |
Harry Potter & the Deathly Hollows: Part 1I | 381.01 | 94.43 |
Transformers: Dark of the Moon | 352.39 | 44.78 |
The Hangover Part II | 254.46 | 35.39 |
Pirates of the Caribbean:On Stranger Tides | 241.06 | 17.86 |
Fast Five | 210.03 | 30.63 |
Cars 2 | 191.45 | 73.12 |
Thor | 181.03 | 19.85 |
Rise of the Planet of the Apes | 176.76 | 27.03 |
Capatin America: The First Avenger | 176.65 | 21.49 |
Bridesmaids | 169.21 | 52.75 |
The Help | 169.50 | 54.59 |
Kung Fu Panda 2 | 165.25 | 24.94 |
X-Men First Class | 146.41 | 23.19 |
Puss in Boots | 145.74 | 44.98 |
The Smurfs | 142.61 | 28.96 |
Mission Impossible:Ghost Protocol | 141.19 | 22.58 |
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows | 136.91 | 44.70 |
Super Eight | 127.00 | 14.57 |
Rango | 123.48 | 22.63 |
Horrible Bosses | 117.54 | 16.76 |
Green Lantern | 116.60 | 16.89 |
The Lion King | 109.95 | 20.49 |
Cowboys and Aliens | 100.37 | 17.39 |
Real Steel | 84.49 | 24.91 |
Crazy Stupid Love | 84.39 | 15.39 |
The Muppets | 83.56 | 27.99 |
Battle:Los Angeles | 83.55 | 13.28 |
Immortals | 82.70 | 18.60 |
Zookeeper | 80.36 | 11.93 |
Limitless | 79.25 | 11.19 |
Tower Heist | 76.80 | 14.10 |
Moneyball | 75.02 | 19.23 |
Justin Bieber: Never Say Never | 73.01 | 23.67 |
DolphinTale | 72.02 | 13.63 |
Jack and Jill | 71.75 | 11.67 |
Mr. Popper's Penguins | 68.22 | 16.30 |
Happy Feet 2 | 60.97 | 19.54 |
Water for Elephants | 58.71 | 13.21 |
The Lincoln Lawyer | 58.01 | 10.65 |
Hugo | 50.31 | 17.42 |
New Year's Eve | 47.26 | 8.68 |
Arthur Christmas | 46.07 | 12.28 |
War Horse | 44.09 | 24.94 |
(1) the proportion of variation in DVD sales revenue that is explained by box office gross ,
0.5123
(2) the sum of squares Y ,
12,570.0250
(3) the sum of squares predicted ,
6,439.6133
(4) the sum of squares error ,
6,130.4117
(5) the intercept A ,
4.8445
(6) the slope b ,
0.1631
(7) the predicted sales revenue (in $millions) for a movie DVD that had a box office gross of $100 million
21.1588
(8) the standard error of estimate ? Hint: Use PHStat to obtain all the values and answers should be accurate to 4 decimal places.
12.2279
The regression output is:
r² | 0.5123 | |||||
r | 0.716 | |||||
Std. Error | 12.2279 | |||||
n | 43 | |||||
k | 1 | |||||
Dep. Var. | DVD Revenue | |||||
ANOVA table | ||||||
Source | SS | df | MS | F | p-value | |
Regression | 6,439.6133 | 1 | 6,439.6133 | 43.07 | 6.86E-08 | |
Residual | 6,130.4117 | 41 | 149.5222 | |||
Total | 12,570.0250 | 42 | ||||
Regression output | confidence interval | |||||
variables | coefficients | std. error | t (df=41) | p-value | 95% lower | 95% upper |
Intercept | 4.8445 | |||||
Gross | 0.1631 | 0.0249 | 6.563 | 6.86E-08 | 0.1129 | 0.2133 |
Predicted values for: DVD Revenue | ||||||
95% Confidence Interval | 95% Prediction Interval | |||||
Gross | Predicted | lower | upper | lower | upper | Leverage |
100 | 21.1588 | 17.15791 | 25.15977 | -3.85797 | 46.17565 | 0.026 |