In: Statistics and Probability
A company that holds the DVD distribution rights to movies previously released only in theaters has the business objective of developing estimates of the sales revenue of DVDs. Toward this goal, a company analyst plans to use box office gross to predict DVD sales revenue. For 43 movies, the analyst collects the box office gross (in $millions) in the year that they were released and the DVD revenue (in $millions) in the following year and stores these data here.
What are the values for
(1) the proportion of variation in DVD sales revenue that is explained by box office gross ,
(2) the sum of squares Y ,
(3) the sum of squares predicted ,
(4) the sum of squares error ,
(5) the intercept A ,
(6) the slope b ,
(7) the predicted sales revenue (in $millions) for a movie DVD that had a box office gross of $100 million
(8) the standard error of estimate ? Hint: Use PHStat to obtain all the values and answers should be accurate to 4 decimal places.
| Title | Gross | DVD Revenue |
| Harry Potter & the Deathly Hollows: Part 1I | 381.01 | 94.43 |
| Transformers: Dark of the Moon | 352.39 | 44.78 |
| The Hangover Part II | 254.46 | 35.39 |
| Pirates of the Caribbean:On Stranger Tides | 241.06 | 17.86 |
| Fast Five | 210.03 | 30.63 |
| Cars 2 | 191.45 | 73.12 |
| Thor | 181.03 | 19.85 |
| Rise of the Planet of the Apes | 176.76 | 27.03 |
| Capatin America: The First Avenger | 176.65 | 21.49 |
| Bridesmaids | 169.21 | 52.75 |
| The Help | 169.50 | 54.59 |
| Kung Fu Panda 2 | 165.25 | 24.94 |
| X-Men First Class | 146.41 | 23.19 |
| Puss in Boots | 145.74 | 44.98 |
| The Smurfs | 142.61 | 28.96 |
| Mission Impossible:Ghost Protocol | 141.19 | 22.58 |
| Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows | 136.91 | 44.70 |
| Super Eight | 127.00 | 14.57 |
| Rango | 123.48 | 22.63 |
| Horrible Bosses | 117.54 | 16.76 |
| Green Lantern | 116.60 | 16.89 |
| The Lion King | 109.95 | 20.49 |
| Cowboys and Aliens | 100.37 | 17.39 |
| Real Steel | 84.49 | 24.91 |
| Crazy Stupid Love | 84.39 | 15.39 |
| The Muppets | 83.56 | 27.99 |
| Battle:Los Angeles | 83.55 | 13.28 |
| Immortals | 82.70 | 18.60 |
| Zookeeper | 80.36 | 11.93 |
| Limitless | 79.25 | 11.19 |
| Tower Heist | 76.80 | 14.10 |
| Moneyball | 75.02 | 19.23 |
| Justin Bieber: Never Say Never | 73.01 | 23.67 |
| DolphinTale | 72.02 | 13.63 |
| Jack and Jill | 71.75 | 11.67 |
| Mr. Popper's Penguins | 68.22 | 16.30 |
| Happy Feet 2 | 60.97 | 19.54 |
| Water for Elephants | 58.71 | 13.21 |
| The Lincoln Lawyer | 58.01 | 10.65 |
| Hugo | 50.31 | 17.42 |
| New Year's Eve | 47.26 | 8.68 |
| Arthur Christmas | 46.07 | 12.28 |
| War Horse | 44.09 | 24.94 |
(1) the proportion of variation in DVD sales revenue that is explained by box office gross ,
0.5123
(2) the sum of squares Y ,
12,570.0250
(3) the sum of squares predicted ,
6,439.6133
(4) the sum of squares error ,
6,130.4117
(5) the intercept A ,
4.8445
(6) the slope b ,
0.1631
(7) the predicted sales revenue (in $millions) for a movie DVD that had a box office gross of $100 million
21.1588
(8) the standard error of estimate ? Hint: Use PHStat to obtain all the values and answers should be accurate to 4 decimal places.
12.2279
The regression output is:
| r² | 0.5123 | |||||
| r | 0.716 | |||||
| Std. Error | 12.2279 | |||||
| n | 43 | |||||
| k | 1 | |||||
| Dep. Var. | DVD Revenue | |||||
| ANOVA table | ||||||
| Source | SS | df | MS | F | p-value | |
| Regression | 6,439.6133 | 1 | 6,439.6133 | 43.07 | 6.86E-08 | |
| Residual | 6,130.4117 | 41 | 149.5222 | |||
| Total | 12,570.0250 | 42 | ||||
| Regression output | confidence interval | |||||
| variables | coefficients | std. error | t (df=41) | p-value | 95% lower | 95% upper |
| Intercept | 4.8445 | |||||
| Gross | 0.1631 | 0.0249 | 6.563 | 6.86E-08 | 0.1129 | 0.2133 |
| Predicted values for: DVD Revenue | ||||||
| 95% Confidence Interval | 95% Prediction Interval | |||||
| Gross | Predicted | lower | upper | lower | upper | Leverage |
| 100 | 21.1588 | 17.15791 | 25.15977 | -3.85797 | 46.17565 | 0.026 |