In: Finance
Calculate the durations and volatilities of securities A, B, and C. Their cash flows are shown below. The interest rate is 10%. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round "Duration" to 4 decimal places and "Volatility" to 2 decimal places.)
Period 1 | Period 2 | Period 3 | Duration | Volatility | |
A | 50 | 50 | 60 | years | |
B | 30 | 30 | 140 | years | |
C | 20 | 20 | 130 | years | |
Formula sheet
A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | |
2 | ||||||||||
3 | ||||||||||
4 | Securities | 1 | 2 | 3 | ||||||
5 | A | 50 | 50 | 60 | ||||||
6 | B | 30 | 30 | 140 | ||||||
7 | C | 20 | 20 | 130 | ||||||
8 | Assuming the period is in year. | |||||||||
9 | ||||||||||
10 | Interest rate | 0.1 | ||||||||
11 | ||||||||||
12 | Calculation of Duration: | |||||||||
13 | Macaulay Duration is the weightage average of the time to present value of cash flows. | |||||||||
14 | ||||||||||
15 | Formula for Macaulay duration is as follows: | |||||||||
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22 | Where, Ct is cash flow at time t, PV(Ct) is the present value of cash flow at time t and T is the total time horizon. | |||||||||
23 | ||||||||||
24 | Calculation of Macaulay duration for Security A: | |||||||||
25 | Year (t) | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||||
26 | Cash Flow (Ct) | =D5 | =E5 | =F5 | ||||||
27 | Effective interest rate (i) | =D10 | ||||||||
28 | Present value factor (P/F,i,n) for each year | =1/((1+$D27)^E25) | =1/((1+$D27)^F25) | =1/((1+$D27)^G25) | ||||||
29 | PV (Ct) = (Ct)*(P/F,i,n) | =E26*E28 | =F26*F28 | =G26*G28 | ||||||
30 | ? PV (Ct) | =SUM(E29:I29) | ||||||||
31 | Fraction of total Value [PV(Ct)/? PV (Ct)] | =E29/$D30 | =F29/$D30 | =G29/$D30 | ||||||
32 | Year* Fraction of Total Value [t *PV(Ct)/? PV (Ct)] | =E25*E31 | =F25*F31 | =G25*G31 | ||||||
33 | Macaulay Duration of Security A | =SUM(E32:G32) | =SUM(E32:G32) | |||||||
34 | ||||||||||
35 | Hence Duration of security A is | =D33 | Years | |||||||
36 | ||||||||||
37 | Calculation of Macaulay duration for Security B: | |||||||||
38 | Year (t) | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||||
39 | Cash Flow (Ct) | =D6 | =E6 | =F6 | ||||||
40 | Effective interest rate (i) | =$D$10 | ||||||||
41 | Present value factor (P/F,i,n) for each year | =1/((1+$D40)^E38) | =1/((1+$D40)^F38) | =1/((1+$D40)^G38) | ||||||
42 | PV (Ct) = (Ct)*(P/F,i,n) | =E39*E41 | =F39*F41 | =G39*G41 | ||||||
43 | ? PV (Ct) | =SUM(E42:I42) | ||||||||
44 | Fraction of total Value [PV(Ct)/? PV (Ct)] | =E42/$D43 | =F42/$D43 | =G42/$D43 | ||||||
45 | Year* Fraction of Total Value [t *PV(Ct)/? PV (Ct)] | =E38*E44 | =F38*F44 | =G38*G44 | ||||||
46 | Macaulay Duration of Security B | =SUM(E45:G45) | =SUM(E45:G45) | |||||||
47 | ||||||||||
48 | Hence Duration of security B is | =D46 | Years | |||||||
49 | ||||||||||
50 | Calculation of Macaulay duration for Security C: | |||||||||
51 | Year (t) | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||||
52 | Cash Flow (Ct) | =D7 | =E7 | =F7 | ||||||
53 | Effective interest rate (i) | =$D$10 | ||||||||
54 | Present value factor (P/F,i,n) for each year | =1/((1+$D53)^E51) | =1/((1+$D53)^F51) | =1/((1+$D53)^G51) | ||||||
55 | PV (Ct) = (Ct)*(P/F,i,n) | =E52*E54 | =F52*F54 | =G52*G54 | ||||||
56 | ? PV (Ct) | =SUM(E55:G55) | ||||||||
57 | Fraction of total Value [PV(Ct)/? PV (Ct)] | =E55/$D56 | =F55/$D56 | =G55/$D56 | ||||||
58 | Year* Fraction of Total Value [t *PV(Ct)/? PV (Ct)] | =E51*E57 | =F51*F57 | =G51*G57 | ||||||
59 | Macaulay Duration of Security C | =SUM(E58:G58) | =SUM(E58:G58) | |||||||
60 | ||||||||||
61 | Hence Duration of security C is | =D59 | Years | |||||||
62 | ||||||||||
63 | Calculation of volatility: | |||||||||
64 | Volatility is the standard deviation of cash flows. | |||||||||
65 | Excel function for standard deviation can be found as follows: | |||||||||
66 | ||||||||||
67 | Securities | 1 | 2 | 3 | Volatility | |||||
68 | A | 50 | 50 | 60 | =STDEV.S(D68:F68) | =STDEV.S(D68:F68) | ||||
69 | B | 30 | 30 | 140 | =STDEV.S(D69:F69) | |||||
70 | C | 20 | 20 | 130 | =STDEV.S(D70:F70) | |||||
71 | ||||||||||
72 | Hence, | |||||||||
73 | Securities | Volatility | ||||||||
74 | A | =G68 | ||||||||
75 | B | =G69 | ||||||||
76 | C | =G70 | ||||||||
77 |