In: Statistics and Probability
The annual rainfall in a certain region is approximately normally distributed with mean 42.6 inches and standard deviation 5.8 inches. Round answers to the nearest tenth of a percent. a) What percentage of years will have an annual rainfall of less than 44 inches? % b) What percentage of years will have an annual rainfall of more than 40 inches? % c) What percentage of years will have an annual rainfall of between 38 inches and 43 inches?
Solution:
We are given that: the annual rainfall in a certain region is approximately normally distributed with mean 42.6 inches and standard deviation 5.8 inches.
That is: µ = 42.6 and σ = 5.8
Part a) What percentage of years will have an annual rainfall of less than 44 inches?
P( X < 44) = ..........?
z score formula:
z = ( x - µ ) / σ
z = ( 44 - 42.6 ) / 5.8 = 1.4 / 5.8 = 0.24
Thus we get:
P( X < 44) = P( Z < 0.24)
Look in z table for z = 0.2 and 0.04 and find area.
From z table, we get: P( Z < 0.24) = 0.5948
Thus
P( X < 44) = P( Z < 0.24)
P( X < 44) = 0.5948
P( X < 44) = 59.48%
P( X < 44) = 59.5%
Part b) What percentage of years will have an annual rainfall of more than 40 inches?
P( X > 40) = ...........?
z = ( x - µ ) / σ
z = ( 40 - 42.6 ) / 5.8 = -2.6 / 5.8 = -0.45
Thus we get:
P( X > 40) = P( Z > -0.45)
P( X > 40) = 1 - P( Z < -0.45)
Look in z table for z = -0.4 and 0.05 and find area.
From z table, we get: P( Z < -0.45) = 0.3264
Thus
P( X > 40) = 1 - P( Z < -0.45)
P( X > 40) = 1 - 0.3264
P( X > 40) = 0.6736
P( X > 40) = 67.36%
P( X > 40) = 67.4%
Part c) What percentage of years will have an annual rainfall of between 38 inches and 43 inches?
P( 38 < X < 43) = .........?
z = ( x - µ ) / σ
z = ( 38 - 42.6 ) / 5.8 = -4.6 / 5.8 = -0.79
and
z = ( 43 - 42.6 ) / 5.8 = 0.4 / 5.8 = 0.07
Thus we get:
P( 38 < X < 43) = P( -0.79 < Z < 0.07)
P( 38 < X < 43) = P( Z < 0.07) - P( Z < -0.79)
Look in z table for z = 0.0 and 0.07 as well as for z = -0.7 and 0.09 and find corresponding area.
From z table we get:
P( Z < 0.07) = 0.5279
P( Z < -0.79) = 0.2148
Thus
P( 38 < X < 43) = P( Z < 0.07) - P( Z < -0.79)
P( 38 < X < 43) = 0.5279 - 0.2148
P( 38 < X < 43) = 0.3131
P( 38 < X < 43) = 31.31%
P( 38 < X < 43) = 31.3%