In: Statistics and Probability
The hostess at a busy restaurant has found that during a Saturday evening, the restaurant typically has 14 diners entering every 18 minutes.
What is the probability that exactly 13 people enter the restaurant during a random 18 minute period on a Saturday evening?
What is the probability that exactly 10 people enter the restaurant during a random 9 minute window on a Saturday evening?
Part 1.
Let X denote the number of diners entering the busy restaurant every 18 minutes on a Saturday evening.
Now, since we are considering the number of events happening in a specific time interval we can use a Poisson distribution, thus we get:
X ~ Poisson(λ) for some λ > 0
=> E(X) = λ
Now, we are given that the restaurant typically (i.e., on an average) has 14 diners entering every 18 minutes during a Saturday evening, thus we get:
E(X) = 14
From the last two equations, we get:
λ = 14
=> X ~ Poisson(λ = 14) and the probability mass function of X
is given by:
Thus, the probability that exactly 13 people enter the
restaurant during a random 18 minute period on a Saturday evening
is given by:
Part 2.
Let Y denote the number of diners entering the busy restaurant in a 9 minute window on a Saturday evening.
Now, since we are considering the number of events happening in a specific time interval we can use a Poisson distribution, thus we get:
Y ~ Poisson(µ) for some µ > 0
=> E(Y) = µ
Now, we are given that the restaurant typically (i.e., on an average) has 14 diners entering every 18 minutes during a Saturday evening, which means that in a 9-minute window on an average 7 diners enter on a Saturday evening. Thus we get:
E(Y) = 7
From the last two equations, we get:
µ = 7
=> Y ~ Poisson(µ = 7) and the probability mass function of Y is given by:
Thus the probability that exactly 10 people enter the restaurant during a random 9 minute window on a Saturday evening is given by:
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