In: Finance
Consider the following cash flows on two mutually exclusive projects for the Bahamas Recreation Corporation (BRC). Both projects require an annual return of 15%. Year Deepwater Fishing New Submarine Ride 0 -600,000 -1,800,000 1 270,000 1,000,000 2 350,000 700,000 3 300,000 900,000 as a financial analyst for BRC, you are asked the following questions: a. Based on the discounted payback period rule, which project should be chosen? b. If your decision rule is to accept the project with the greater IRR, which project should you use? c. Since you are fully aware of the IRR rule’s scale problem, you calculate the modified IRR (MIRR) for the two projects. Based on your computation, which project should you choose? d. To be prudent, you compute the NPV for both projects. Which project should you choose? Is it consistent with the MIRR rule?
no excel uses. please show all numbers in hand
Bahamas Recreation Corporation
Project A |
Project B |
|
Year0 |
-6,00,000 |
-18,00,000 |
Year1 |
2,70,000 |
10,00,000 |
Year2 |
3,50,000 |
7,00,000 |
Year3 |
3,00,000 |
9,00,000 |
a) Discounted payback period
Project A |
Discounted cash flow@15% |
|||
Year0 |
-6,00,000 |
1 |
-600000 |
-600000 |
Year1 |
2,70,000 |
0.869 |
234630 |
-365370 |
Year2 |
3,50,000 |
0.756 |
264600 |
-100770 |
Year3 |
3,00,000 |
0.657 |
197100 |
96330 |
Discounted payback period =Year before the discounted payback period occurs+(cummulative cash flow in the year before recovery/Discounted cash flow in the year after recovery)
=2+100770/197100= 2.511 years
Project B |
Discounted cash flow@15% |
|||
Year0 |
-18,00,000 |
1 |
-1800000 |
-1800000 |
Year1 |
10,00,000 |
0.869 |
869000 |
-931000 |
Year2 |
7,00,000 |
0.756 |
529200 |
-401800 |
Year3 |
9,00,000 |
0.657 |
591300 |
189500 |
Discounted payback period = 2+401800/591300 = 2.680 years
Project A is better because it will sooner generate cash flows to cover initial cost in 2.511 years as compare to Project B in 2.680 years.
b. IRR Method
IRR= ra+(NPVa/NPVa-NPVb)[rb-ra)
ra= Lower discount rate
NPVa= NPV at ra
NPVb= NPV at rb
rb= Higher discount rate
Let's assume ra= 10% and rb= 20%
Project A |
Discounted Rate@10% |
Present Value |
Discounted rate@20% |
Present Value |
|
Year0 |
-6,00,000 |
1 |
-600000 |
1 |
-600000 |
Year1 |
2,70,000 |
0.909 |
245430 |
0.833 |
224910 |
Year2 |
3,50,000 |
0.826 |
289100 |
0.694 |
242900 |
Year3 |
3,00,000 |
0.751 |
225300 |
0.578 |
173400 |
NPV |
159830 |
41210 |
IRR= 10+ (159830/159830-41210)*5
=16.735%
Project B |
Discounted Rate@10% |
Present Value |
Discounted rate@20% |
Present Value |
|
Year0 |
-18,00,000 |
1 |
-1800000 |
1 |
-1800000 |
Year1 |
10,00,000 |
0.909 |
909000 |
0.833 |
833000 |
Year2 |
7,00,000 |
0.826 |
578200 |
0.694 |
485800 |
Year3 |
9,00,000 |
0.751 |
675900 |
0.578 |
520200 |
NPV |
363100 |
39000 |
IRR= 10+ (363100/363100-39000)*5
=15.60%
Project A is better as higher the IRR , higher would be the rate of return
MIRR Project A
PV of outflows at 15% |
-600000 |
||
FV of inflows at 15% |
|||
Year1 |
2,70,000 |
1.15 |
310500 |
Year2 |
3,50,000 |
1.15*1.15 |
462875 |
Year3 |
3,00,000 |
1.15*1.15*1.15 |
456262.5 |
Total future inflows |
1229637.5 |
600000=1229637.5/(1+K)3
=600000(1+K)3 =1229637.5
(1+K)3=2.049
1+K=1.270
K= 27 %
MIRR Project B
PV of outflows at 15% |
-18,00,000 |
||
FV of inflows at 15% |
|||
Year1 |
10,00,000 |
1.15 |
1150000 |
Year2 |
7,00,000 |
1.322 |
925400 |
Year3 |
9,00,000 |
1.521 |
1368900 |
Total future inflows |
3444300 |
18,00,000=3444300/(1+K)3
(1+K)3= 0.523
K= -19.4%
By MIRR it is clear that project A is better because MIRR of Project A is also greater than cost of capital. Also as per IRR project A is better. Due to assumptions in IRR, we calculated MIRR which provides more clarity for the similar aspects.
NPV Project A.
Project A |
Discounted Rate@15% |
Present Value |
|
Year0 |
-6,00,000 |
1 |
-600000 |
Year1 |
2,70,000 |
0.869 |
234630 |
Year2 |
3,50,000 |
0.756 |
264600 |
Year3 |
3,00,000 |
0.657 |
197100 |
NPV |
96330 |
Project B |
Discounted Rate@15% |
Present Value |
|
Year0 |
-18,00,000 |
1 |
-1800000 |
Year1 |
10,00,000 |
0.869 |
869000 |
Year2 |
7,00,000 |
0.756 |
529200 |
Year3 |
9,00,000 |
0.657 |
591300 |
NPV |
189500 |
As per NPV rule, Project B should be accepted. It is conflicting with MIRR rule due to difference in projects parameters.As per MIRR, cash inflows from a project must be reinvested at the rate of cost of capital.