In: Finance
Calculate the duration for a $1,000, 4‐year bond with a 4.5 percent annual coupon, currently selling at par.
Use the bond’s duration to estimate the percentage change in the bond’s price for a decrease in the market interest rate to 3.5 percent.
If the bond is selling at par means Coupon rate and Yield are same.
Duration:
Duaration = Sum [ Weight * Year ]
Year | CF | PVF @4.5% | Disc CF | Weight | Wt * Year |
1 | $ 45.00 | 0.9569 | $ 43.06 | 0.0431 | 0.0431 |
2 | $ 45.00 | 0.9157 | $ 41.21 | 0.0412 | 0.0824 |
3 | $ 45.00 | 0.8763 | $ 39.43 | 0.0394 | 0.1183 |
4 | $ 45.00 | 0.8386 | $ 37.74 | 0.0377 | 0.1509 |
4 | $ 1,000.00 | 0.8386 | $ 838.56 | 0.8386 | 3.3542 |
Duration | 3.7490 |
Modified duaration :
Modified duration = Duration / [ 1 + YTM ]
It specifies% change in Price in opposite direction due to 1% change in YTM.
= 3.7490 / 1+ 0.045
= 3.7490 / 1.045
= 3.5875
i.e 1% change in Disc rate affects the price by 3.5875%
If the Int rate has become 3.5% [ 4.5% - 1% ] . price will change by 3.5875%