In: Economics
Why maintaining high interest rates does not gurantee the absence of capital flights?
Capital flight is the uncertain and rapid movement of financial
assets and capital from a country which is motivated by negative
fiscal policy , political and economic uncertainty. It can be legal
when foreign investors send back their capital to hone country or
can be illegal when economies imposing capital control to restrict
transfer of capital out of the economy .
It can be occurs through country specific
reason or macroeconomic developments that triggered large scale
shift in investment.
one of the reason for this is low interest
rate environment . Low interest rates can trigger 'Carry Forward'
which means borrow from this low interest rate environment and
invest in potentially high return assets like equities and junk
bonds . But maintaining higher interest rate can't guarantee the
absence of capital flight because their are several more reason for
this .
1 . Currency devaluation : foreign investors flee from such nations before their assets lose too much value
2. Political and economic turmoil
3. Threats of hyperinflation which could decrease the value of asset
4. Threat of imposed nationalisation
5. Balance of payment crisis : larger BoP cause depreciation in
exchange rates which could lead capital flight
6. Lack of confidence in economy
7. Fear of rising income or capital gain tax