In: Finance
PLEASE SHOW THE EXCEL INPUTS AND FORMULAS AS I AM VERY NEW TO THIS SUBJECT AND WANT TO LEARN EXCEL INPUTS.
Problem 7-18 Abandonment We are examining a new project. We expect to sell 6,300 units per year at $57 net cash flow apiece for the next 10 years. In other words, the annual operating cash flow is projected to be $57 × 6,300 = $359,100. The relevant discount rate is 12 percent, and the initial investment required is $1,740,000. After the first year, the project can be dismantled and sold for $1,610,000. Suppose you think it is likely that expected sales will be revised upward to 9,300 units if the first year is a success and revised downward to 4,900 units if the first year is not a success. a. If success and failure are equally likely, what is the NPV of the project? Consider the possibility of abandonment in answering. (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) b. What is the value of the option to abandon? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)
A. NPV
B. Option Value
period | units Yo | units Y1 | Probabilty | Expected units | sale value | cash flows | pvaf@12% | Pv of cash flows | |
9300 | 0.5 | 4650 | |||||||
1to 10 | 6300 | ||||||||
4900 | 0.5 | 2450 | |||||||
7100 | ₹ 57.00 | ₹ 404,700.00 | 5.650 | ₹ 2,286,645.26 | |||||
pv cash inflows | ₹ 2,286,645.26 | ||||||||
Initital investment | ₹ 1,740,000.00 | ||||||||
NPV | ₹ 546,645.26 |
workings | |||
Risk free rate | 0.12 | ||
present value annuity factor for 10 years | |||
1 | 0.893 | ||
2 | 0.797 | ||
3 | 0.712 | ||
4 | 0.636 | ||
5 | 0.567 | ||
6 | 0.507 | ||
7 | 0.452 | ||
8 | 0.404 | ||
9 | 0.361 | ||
10 | 0.322 | ||
5.650 |
npv as per excel | |||||||||||
Rate | 12% | ||||||||||
period | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
Inflows | -1740000.00 | ₹ 404,700.00 | ₹ 404,700.00 | ₹ 404,700.00 | ₹ 404,700.00 | ₹ 404,700.00 | ₹ 404,700.00 | ₹ 404,700.00 | ₹ 404,700.00 | ₹ 404,700.00 | ₹ 404,700.00 |
NPV as per Excel | ₹ 546,645.3 |
In excel,
Formula for NPV is =NPV(Rate, Value1,(value2),...)+Value i
Here Value 1, value 2,...... are Inflows and Value i should be outflow (initial Investment)
Calculation value of abanded Option | ||||||||
Year 0 | Year 1 | sale | Cash flow | Disposal cost | Payoff | Probabilty | Expected value | |
9300 | ₹ 57.00 | ₹ 530,100.00 | ₹ 0.00 | ₹ 0.00 | 0.50 | ₹ 0.00 | ||
6300 | ||||||||
4900 | ₹ 57.00 | ₹ 279,300.00 | ₹ 1,610,000.00 | ₹ 1,330,700.00 | 0.50 | ₹ 665,350.00 | ||
Since payoff at the end of year 1 so present value payoff | ₹ 594,062.50 | |||||||
Value of abanded option | ₹ 594,062.50 | |||||||