In: Statistics and Probability
A task force is studying the need for an additional bicycle path on a large university campus. It is assumed that the distribution of bicyclists using a path between classes is normally distributed with a population variance of about 64. A random sample of 7 existing bicycle paths showed that the sample mean number of bicyclists using a path between classes was 33.
A group of interested students took its own sample of 5 different bicycle paths, and computed a confidence interval for the population mean that ranged from (16.0 , 25.173 ). What is the probability content (or the level of confidence) of this interval?
Solution:
Given : The distribution of bicyclists using a path between classes is normally distributed with a population variance of about 64.
Population Variance =
Then population standard deviation =
Sample size = n = 5 and computed a confidence interval for the population mean that ranged from (16.0 , 25.173 ).
We have to find the probability content (or the level of confidence) of this interval.
Lower Limit =
Upper limit =
Subtract lower limit from upper limit , we get :
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0 + 2 E = 9.173
E = 9.173 / 2
E = 4.5865
Now use following formula:
That is z = 1.28
Now look in z table for z = 1.2 and .08 and find corresponding area:
Area = 0.8997 corresponds to 1.2 and 0.08
That is approximately 0.90
So area below z = 1.28 is 0.90
Thus level of confidence = 0.80 or 80% .