In: Statistics and Probability
Date | Apple Close Price | Monthly Return |
11/1/13 | 76.825317 | 7.01% |
12/2/13 | 77.509201 | 0.89% |
1/2/14 | 69.161713 | -10.77% |
2/3/14 | 73.139267 | 5.75% |
3/3/14 | 74.59861 | 2.00% |
4/1/14 | 82.013435 | 9.94% |
5/1/14 | 88.468651 | 7.87% |
6/2/14 | 90.915863 | 2.77% |
7/1/14 | 93.527992 | 2.87% |
8/1/14 | 100.777245 | 7.75% |
9/2/14 | 99.056656 | -1.71% |
10/1/14 | 106.184807 | 7.20% |
11/3/14 | 117.438133 | 10.60% |
12/1/14 | 108.995377 | -7.19% |
1/2/15 | 115.690338 | 6.14% |
2/2/15 | 127.34922 | 10.08% |
3/2/15 | 123.354057 | -3.14% |
4/1/15 | 124.067833 | 0.58% |
5/1/15 | 129.692947 | 4.53% |
6/1/15 | 124.864807 | -3.72% |
7/1/15 | 120.753418 | -3.29% |
8/3/15 | 112.760002 | -6.62% |
9/1/15 | 110.300003 | -2.18% |
10/1/15 | 111.730003 | 1.30% |
Calculate the following sample statistics for the "Monthly Return" Variable: |
Sample size n ==> |
Sample Mean X-Bar ==> |
Sample Variance S2 ==> |
Q3. Based on these sample statistics, calculate the LCL and UCL for a 95% confidence intercal of the mean monthly return. |
a. LCL ==> |
b. UCL ==> |
Here sample size is n=24
Sample mean is
Create the following table.
data | data-mean | (data - mean)2 |
7.01 | 4.9825 | 24.82530625 |
0.89 | -1.1375 | 1.29390625 |
-10.77 | -12.7975 | 163.77600625 |
5.75 | 3.7225 | 13.85700625 |
2 | -0.0275 | 0.00075625 |
9.94 | 7.9125 | 62.60765625 |
7.87 | 5.8425 | 34.13480625 |
2.77 | 0.7425 | 0.55130625 |
2.87 | 0.8425 | 0.70980625 |
7.75 | 5.7225 | 32.74700625 |
-1.71 | -3.7375 | 13.96890625 |
7.2 | 5.1725 | 26.75475625 |
10.6 | 8.5725 | 73.48775625 |
-7.19 | -9.2175 | 84.96230625 |
6.14 | 4.1125 | 16.91265625 |
10.08 | 8.0525 | 64.84275625 |
-3.14 | -5.1675 | 26.70305625 |
0.58 | -1.4475 | 2.09525625 |
4.53 | 2.5025 | 6.26250625 |
-3.72 | -5.7475 | 33.03375625 |
-3.29 | -5.3175 | 28.27580625 |
-6.62 | -8.6475 | 74.77925625 |
-2.18 | -4.2075 | 17.70305625 |
1.3 | -0.7275 | 0.52925625 |
Find the sum of numbers in the last column to get.
Now to find CI, let us assume that distribution is normal, as n<30 we will use t distribution
So t table value for 95% CI is 2.069
Hence Margin of Error is
So CI is
Hence LCL =-0.4708
& UCL=4.5258