In: Finance
The global financial crisis (GFC) around 2008 had a
significant
impact on the Australian economy and financial markets. We define
the before
GFC period as Apr 2000 to July 2007, the GFC period as Aug 2007 to
Dec 2009,
and the after-GFC period as after Jan 2010. Test the following
hypotheses at 5%
significance. The Appendix provides the details for testing the
difference in
means. a. The average AOret is the same before and after the GFC.
b. The average AOSD is greater than the average AUDSD since April
2000
Date | AllOrd | Aoret | AOSD | AUDUSD | AUDSD | TV (m) | IR (%) | MV | PE |
2000/4/28 | 3085.1 | 0.0703 | 0.5909 | 0.0253 | 5122.6 | 5.72 | 634878 | 22.08 | |
2000/5/31 | 3040.6 | -1.44% | 0.0451 | 0.5735 | 0.0358 | 6373.5 | 5.98 | 616440 | 21.36 |
2000/6/30 | 3257.6 | 7.14% | 0.0337 | 0.5986 | 0.0383 | 7439.0 | 6 | 661306 | 22.74 |
2000/7/31 | 3213.6 | -1.35% | 0.0181 | 0.5822 | 0.0318 | 6205.7 | 6 | 655211 | 22.4 |
2000/8/31 | 3261.7 | 1.50% | 0.0211 | 0.5748 | 0.0392 | 6803.6 | 6.24 | 667249 | 19.92 |
2000/9/29 | 3246.1 | -0.48% | 0.0373 | 0.5433 | 0.0314 | 5353.3 | 6.25 | 665713 | 19.79 |
2000/10/31 | 3203.9 | -1.30% | 0.0354 | 0.5148 | 0.0409 | 6330.3 | 6.25 | 654696 | 19.34 |
2000/11/30 | 3222 | 0.56% | 0.0273 | 0.5227 | 0.0410 | 6366.8 | 6.25 | 660245 | 19.1 |
2000/12/29 | 3154.7 | -2.09% | 0.0306 | 0.554 | 0.0379 | 5150.9 | 6.25 | 647981 | 18.76 |
2001/1/31 | 3291.5 | 4.34% | 0.0341 | 0.5466 | 0.0496 | 6502.1 | 6.25 | 677262 | 19.64 |
2001/2/28 | 3274.1 | -0.53% | 0.0232 | 0.525 | 0.0311 | 6162.9 | 5.85 | 674838 | 19.13 |
2001/3/30 | 3096.9 | -5.41% | 0.0330 | 0.489 | 0.0400 | 7771.0 | 5.55 | 640182 | 17.97 |
2001/4/30 | 3270.3 | 5.60% | 0.0295 | 0.5088 | 0.0471 | 6796.1 | 5.06 | 684694 | 19.06 |
2001/5/31 | 3317.2 | 1.43% | 0.0216 | 0.51 | 0.0411 | 8380.9 | 5 | 706141 | 19.3 |
2001/6/29 | 3425.2 | 3.26% | 0.0298 | 0.5075 | 0.0369 | 8988.5 | 5 | 731350 | 19.23 |
2001/7/31 | 3270.8 | -4.51% | 0.0311 | 0.5041 | 0.0291 | 8587.2 | 5 | 696368 | 18.25 |
2001/8/31 | 3217.8 | -1.62% | 0.0328 | 0.5342 | 0.0393 | 8630.8 | 5 | 690510 | 18.57 |
2001/9/28 | 2988 | -7.14% | 0.0755 | 0.4923 | 0.0485 | 8689.5 | 4.78 | 637779 | 17.48 |
2001/10/31 | 3185.3 | 6.60% | 0.0438 | 0.5053 | 0.0437 | 8724.8 | 4.52 | 680742 | 18.61 |
2001/11/30 | 3276.9 | 2.88% | 0.0297 | 0.52 | 0.0224 | 8851.4 | 4.5 | 701486 | 20.13 |
2001/12/31 | 3359.9 | 2.53% | 0.0233 | 0.5106 | 0.0228 | 6793.5 | 4.28 | 720543 | 20.65 |
2002/1/31 | 3404 | 1.31% | 0.0222 | 0.5078 | 0.0262 | 8554.5 | 4.25 | 730625 | 20.63 |
2002/2/28 | 3358.6 | -1.33% | 0.0218 | 0.5164 | 0.0186 | 9741.4 | 4.25 | 717582 | 21.62 |
2002/3/29 | 3363.3 | 0.14% | 0.0287 | 0.5316 | 0.0190 | 8869.1 | 4.25 | 721098 | 22.32 |
2002/4/30 | 3299.5 | -1.90% | 0.0195 | 0.5397 | 0.0211 | 8457.3 | 4.25 | 716520 | 21.76 |
2002/5/31 | 3325.1 | 0.78% | 0.0270 | 0.5674 | 0.0232 | 10220.3 | 4.45 | 723499 | 21.43 |
2002/6/28 | 3163.2 | -4.87% | 0.0262 | 0.5648 | 0.0359 | 9329.5 | 4.72 | 688364 | 20.36 |
2002/7/31 | 3032.6 | -4.13% | 0.0482 | 0.5478 | 0.0413 | 9753.9 | 4.75 | 664886 | 19.59 |
2002/8/30 | 3073.7 | 1.36% | 0.0365 | 0.5532 | 0.0421 | 8769.3 | 4.75 | 674402 | 20.07 |
2002/9/30 | 2928.3 | -4.73% | 0.0378 | 0.5435 | 0.0232 | 9382.4 | 4.75 | 643353 | 19.03 |
2002/10/31 | 2995 | 2.28% | 0.0356 | 0.5534 | 0.0162 | 9673.2 | 4.75 | 660222 | 19.15 |
2002/11/29 | 3025.2 | 1.01% | 0.0372 | 0.5608 | 0.0215 | 9479.6 | 4.75 | 666129 | 18.67 |
2002/12/31 | 2975.5 | -1.64% | 0.0305 | 0.5662 | 0.0147 | 7434.2 | 4.75 | 655949 | 18.22 |
2003/1/31 | 2935.4 | -1.35% | 0.0274 | 0.5884 | 0.0265 | 9470.5 | 4.75 | 650167 | 18.03 |
2003/2/28 | 2778.4 | -5.35% | 0.0413 | 0.6054 | 0.0275 | 9827.0 | 4.75 | 614895 | 17.02 |
2003/3/31 | 2848.6 | 2.53% | 0.0477 | 0.6036 | 0.0356 | 10661.4 | 4.75 | 627354 | 17.55 |
2003/4/30 | 2970.9 | 4.29% | 0.0323 | 0.623 | 0.0220 | 9139.0 | 4.75 | 658441 | 18.71 |
2003/5/30 | 2979.8 | 0.30% | 0.0222 | 0.6522 | 0.0373 | 11708.2 | 4.75 | 661936 | 18 |
2003/6/30 | 2999.7 | 0.67% | 0.0239 | 0.6674 | 0.0279 | 12239.2 | 4.75 | 662017 | 18.14 |
2003/7/31 | 3106.7 | 3.57% | 0.0229 | 0.6529 | 0.0422 | 12013.6 | 4.75 | 689132 | 18.89 |
2003/8/29 | 3202.9 | 3.10% | 0.0143 | 0.64 | 0.0311 | 12283.1 | 4.75 | 707535 | 20.58 |
2003/9/30 | 3176.2 | -0.83% | 0.0220 | 0.6801 | 0.0381 | 13353.6 | 4.75 | 704703 | 19.29 |
2003/10/31 | 3282.4 | 3.34% | 0.0220 | 0.7046 | 0.0216 | 13560.2 | 4.75 | 727806 | 19.67 |
2003/11/28 | 3195.7 | -2.64% | 0.0198 | 0.7206 | 0.0320 | 9831.6 | 4.98 | 711585 | 17.9 |
2003/12/31 | 3306 | 3.45% | 0.0236 | 0.75 | 0.0200 | 9449.7 | 5.23 | 738376 | 18.5 |
2004/1/30 | 3283.6 | -0.68% | 0.0197 | 0.7644 | 0.0359 | 10338.6 | 5.25 | 738963 | 18.67 |
2004/2/27 | 3372.5 | 2.71% | 0.0148 | 0.7708 | 0.0339 | 9687.3 | 5.25 | 759171 | 17.57 |
2004/3/31 | 3416.4 | 1.30% | 0.0184 | 0.7589 | 0.0495 | 13633.8 | 5.25 | 787547 | 17.74 |
2004/4/30 | 3407.7 | -0.25% | 0.0195 | 0.722 | 0.0471 | 11224.0 | 5.25 | 786794 | 17.63 |
2004/5/31 | 3456.9 | 1.44% | 0.0224 | 0.7143 | 0.0515 | 11365.3 | 5.25 | 799078 | 17.4 |
2004/6/30 | 3530.3 | 2.12% | 0.0173 | 0.6889 | 0.0480 | 12675.5 | 5.25 | 816230 | 17.98 |
2004/7/30 | 3546.1 | 0.45% | 0.0191 | 0.6986 | 0.0365 | 12176.1 | 5.25 | 820804 | 18.19 |
2004/8/31 | 3561.9 | 0.45% | 0.0181 | 0.7011 | 0.0373 | 10235.5 | 5.25 | 823857 | 16.89 |
2004/9/30 | 3674.7 | 3.17% | 0.0138 | 0.7147 | 0.0252 | 12411.8 | 5.25 | 853567 | 17.06 |
2004/10/29 | 3786.3 | 3.04% | 0.0212 | 0.7461 | 0.0311 | 15263.1 | 5.25 | 880681 | 17.47 |
2004/11/30 | 3942.8 | 4.13% | 0.0213 | 0.7775 | 0.0318 | 13496.9 | 5.25 | 917562 | 18.07 |
2004/12/31 | 4053.1 | 2.80% | 0.0215 | 0.779 | 0.0344 | 9329.4 | 5.25 | 947527 | 19 |
2005/1/31 | 4106.7 | 1.32% | 0.0167 | 0.7744 | 0.0320 | 9541.1 | 5.25 | 960387 | 19.52 |
2005/2/28 | 4156.5 | 1.21% | 0.0195 | 0.7905 | 0.0251 | 12353.7 | 5.25 | 973627 | 19.84 |
2005/3/31 | 4100.6 | -1.34% | 0.0251 | 0.7719 | 0.0223 | 12866.1 | 5.49 | 966032 | 18.76 |
2005/4/29 | 3943.1 | -3.84% | 0.0352 | 0.7811 | 0.0215 | 11442.6 | 5.5 | 926651 | 18.66 |
2005/5/31 | 4070.4 | 3.23% | 0.0291 | 0.7557 | 0.0222 | 11745.9 | 5.5 | 952202 | 17.3 |
2005/6/30 | 4229.9 | 3.92% | 0.0213 | 0.7637 | 0.0207 | 13014.7 | 5.5 | 979544 | 17.93 |
2005/7/29 | 4346.7 | 2.76% | 0.0207 | 0.7595 | 0.0272 | 11825.1 | 5.5 | 1006107 | 18.27 |
2005/8/31 | 4413.5 | 1.54% | 0.0254 | 0.7471 | 0.0270 | 14393.2 | 5.5 | 1022227 | 18.18 |
2005/9/30 | 4592.6 | 4.06% | 0.0255 | 0.7615 | 0.0258 | 14195.7 | 5.5 | 1010710 | 16.82 |
2005/10/31 | 4412.7 | -3.92% | 0.0462 | 0.7487 | 0.0196 | 12102.2 | 5.5 | 972768 | 16.02 |
2005/11/30 | 4583.6 | 3.87% | 0.0247 | 0.7389 | 0.0187 | 12969.0 | 5.5 | 1010495 | 16.46 |
2005/12/30 | 4708.8 | 2.73% | 0.0245 | 0.7337 | 0.0246 | 10778.2 | 5.5 | 1043449 | 16.95 |
2006/1/31 | 4880.2 | 3.64% | 0.0304 | 0.751 | 0.0226 | 10994.2 | 5.5 | 1081953 | 17.55 |
2006/2/28 | 4878.4 | -0.04% | 0.0313 | 0.7382 | 0.0200 | 12798.8 | 5.5 | 1082109 | 17.29 |
2006/3/31 | 5087.2 | 4.28% | 0.0270 | 0.7159 | 0.0310 | 15589.5 | 5.5 | 1152938 | 17.64 |
2006/4/28 | 5207 | 2.35% | 0.0291 | 0.7542 | 0.0275 | 11212.5 | 5.5 | 1180979 | 18.03 |
2006/5/31 | 4972.3 | -4.51% | 0.0499 | 0.7636 | 0.0358 | 14682.3 | 5.73 | 1125117 | 15.8 |
2006/6/30 | 5034 | 1.24% | 0.0569 | 0.7433 | 0.0356 | 14609.6 | 5.75 | 1143360 | 16.14 |
2006/7/31 | 4957.1 | -1.53% | 0.0403 | 0.7658 | 0.0215 | 11925.8 | 5.75 | 1126395 | 15.75 |
2006/8/31 | 5079.8 | 2.48% | 0.0385 | 0.7627 | 0.0256 | 14780.6 | 5.99 | 1154573 | 16.16 |
2006/9/29 | 5113 | 0.65% | 0.0354 | 0.748 | 0.0220 | 14749.8 | 6 | 1170607 | 15.24 |
2006/10/31 | 5352.9 | 4.69% | 0.0292 | 0.7692 | 0.0169 | 16003.1 | 6 | 1222547 | 15.97 |
2006/11/30 | 5461.6 | 2.03% | 0.0342 | 0.785 | 0.0165 | 16694.3 | 6.19 | 1254619 | 16.54 |
2006/12/29 | 5644.3 | 3.35% | 0.0252 | 0.7913 | 0.0165 | 13513.2 | 6.25 | 1308120 | 17.36 |
2007/1/31 | 5757.7 | 2.01% | 0.0337 | 0.772 | 0.0227 | 14355.8 | 6.25 | 1329638 | 17.92 |
2007/2/28 | 5816.5 | 1.02% | 0.0346 | 0.788 | 0.0196 | 16635.1 | 6.25 | 1343901 | 17.28 |
2007/3/30 | 5978.8 | 2.79% | 0.0477 | 0.807 | 0.0210 | 17611.3 | 6.25 | 1410777 | 16.34 |
2007/4/30 | 6158.3 | 3.00% | 0.0338 | 0.8268 | 0.0256 | 14867.1 | 6.25 | 1452446 | 16.8 |
2007/5/31 | 6341.8 | 2.98% | 0.0364 | 0.8244 | 0.0201 | 19887.7 | 6.25 | 1494763 | 17.08 |
2007/6/29 | 6310.6 | -0.49% | 0.0358 | 0.8487 | 0.0205 | 20028.3 | 6.25 | 1505801 | 15.98 |
2007/7/31 | 6187.5 | -1.95% | 0.0399 | 0.8572 | 0.0343 | 18857.3 | 6.25 | 1461694 | 15.86 |
2007/8/31 | 6248.3 | 0.98% | 0.0912 | 0.8214 | 0.0708 | 22698.2 | 6.45 | 1466734 | 15.32 |
2007/9/28 | 6580.9 | 5.32% | 0.0400 | 0.8827 | 0.0397 | 16730.1 | 6.5 | 1558061 | 15.77 |
2007/10/31 | 6779.1 | 3.01% | 0.0415 | 0.9216 | 0.0409 | 24730.9 | 6.5 | 1602109 | 16.05 |
2007/11/30 | 6593.6 | -2.74% | 0.0586 | 0.8865 | 0.0590 | 18066.1 | 6.7 | 1554691 | 15.6 |
2007/12/31 | 6421 | -2.62% | 0.0473 | 0.8816 | 0.0351 | 25253.2 | 6.75 | 1511599 | 15.05 |
2008/1/31 | 5697 | -11.28% | 0.1173 | 0.8884 | 0.0387 | 20538.0 | 6.75 | 1341299 | 13.47 |
2008/2/29 | 5674.7 | -0.39% | 0.0726 | 0.9466 | 0.0278 | 26848.4 | 6.96 | 1331469 | 13.13 |
2008/3/31 | 5409.7 | -4.67% | 0.0870 | 0.918 | 0.0405 | 21280.3 | 7.22 | 1302711 | 12.79 |
2008/4/30 | 5657 | 4.57% | 0.0576 | 0.9337 | 0.0281 | 19036.5 | 7.25 | 1364748 | 13.53 |
2008/5/30 | 5773.9 | 2.07% | 0.0387 | 0.9559 | 0.0291 | 21162.7 | 7.25 | 1399502 | 14.02 |
2008/6/30 | 5332.9 | -7.64% | 0.0503 | 0.9626 | 0.0190 | 23464.8 | 7.25 | 1300700 | 13.11 |
2008/7/31 | 5052.6 | -5.26% | 0.0746 | 0.9434 | 0.0270 | 21413.1 | 7.25 | 1235582 | 12.05 |
2008/8/29 | 5215.5 | 3.22% | 0.0569 | 0.8639 | 0.0442 | 19236.5 | 7.25 | 1276564 | 12.27 |
2008/9/30 | 4631.3 | -11.20% | 0.1035 | 0.7996 | 0.0932 | 24204.0 | 7.02 | 1138867 | 12.49 |
2008/10/31 | 3982.7 | -14.00% | 0.1738 | 0.668 | 0.1757 | 23306.6 | 6.18 | 980775 | 11.26 |
2008/11/28 | 3672.7 | -7.78% | 0.1401 | 0.6572 | 0.0884 | 20597.0 | 5.33 | 904561 | 10.26 |
2008/12/31 | 3659.3 | -0.36% | 0.0773 | 0.6928 | 0.0639 | 18291.7 | 4.35 | 925795 | 10.38 |
2009/1/30 | 3478.1 | -4.95% | 0.0818 | 0.6438 | 0.0746 | 16482.8 | 4.25 | 884973 | 9.78 |
2009/2/27 | 3296.9 | -5.21% | 0.0450 | 0.6454 | 0.0526 | 19078.2 | 3.35 | 845980 | 9.93 |
2009/3/31 | 3532.3 | 7.14% | 0.0701 | 0.6873 | 0.0543 | 27390.7 | 3.25 | 920531 | 10.98 |
2009/4/30 | 3744.7 | 6.01% | 0.0630 | 0.7265 | 0.0579 | 23797.7 | 3.06 | 979901 | 11.42 |
2009/5/29 | 3813.3 | 1.83% | 0.0637 | 0.7912 | 0.0522 | 29423.5 | 3 | 1009215 | 11.98 |
2009/6/30 | 3947.8 | 3.53% | 0.0637 | 0.8114 | 0.0680 | 33730.5 | 3 | 1060843 | 12.38 |
2009/7/31 | 4249.5 | 7.64% | 0.0572 | 0.8281 | 0.0370 | 27502.9 | 3 | 1146263 | 13.27 |
2009/8/31 | 4484.1 | 5.52% | 0.0518 | 0.8393 | 0.0481 | 41643.0 | 3 | 1215069 | 15.69 |
2009/9/30 | 4739.3 | 5.69% | 0.0466 | 0.8801 | 0.0362 | 38015.2 | 3 | 1302126 | 15.84 |
2009/10/30 | 4646.9 | -1.95% | 0.0550 | 0.9161 | 0.0414 | 32609.5 | 3.21 | 1276306 | 15.68 |
2009/11/30 | 4715.5 | 1.48% | 0.0574 | 0.9178 | 0.0377 | 27281.7 | 3.48 | 1296018 | 15.84 |
2009/12/31 | 4882.7 | 3.55% | 0.0325 | 0.8969 | 0.0342 | 20693.0 | 3.74 | 1348135 | 16.38 |
2010/1/29 | 4596.9 | -5.85% | 0.0396 | 0.8909 | 0.0354 | 20352.1 | 3.75 | 1268074 | 15.93 |
2010/2/26 | 4651.1 | 1.18% | 0.0494 | 0.8899 | 0.0335 | 24764.6 | 3.75 | 1282488 | 16.16 |
2010/3/31 | 4893.1 | 5.20% | 0.0264 | 0.9159 | 0.0251 | 31064.0 | 3.98 | 1362651 | 15.82 |
2010/4/30 | 4833.9 | -1.21% | 0.0300 | 0.93 | 0.0256 | 26321.0 | 4.22 | 1348961 | 15.51 |
2010/5/31 | 4453.6 | -7.87% | 0.0761 | 0.849 | 0.0606 | 33693.3 | 4.48 | 1243814 | 14.56 |
2010/6/30 | 4324.8 | -2.89% | 0.0554 | 0.8523 | 0.0622 | 26221.4 | 4.5 | 1210725 | 14.21 |
2010/7/30 | 4507.4 | 4.22% | 0.0471 | 0.8986 | 0.0464 | 22975.6 | 4.5 | 1262263 | 14.68 |
2010/8/31 | 4438.8 | -1.52% | 0.0451 | 0.8918 | 0.0302 | 28492.7 | 4.5 | 1239724 | 13.33 |
2010/9/30 | 4636.9 | 4.46% | 0.0392 | 0.9667 | 0.0295 | 28430.5 | 4.5 | 1285574 | 14.34 |
2010/10/29 | 4733.4 | 2.08% | 0.0369 | 0.9761 | 0.0350 | 26372.9 | 4.5 | 1311646 | 14.55 |
2010/11/30 | 4676.4 | -1.20% | 0.0308 | 0.9618 | 0.0335 | 27921.3 | 4.73 | 1293156 | 14.59 |
2010/12/31 | 4846.9 | 3.65% | 0.0264 | 1.0163 | 0.0313 | 23924.4 | 4.75 | 1338295 | 15.22 |
2011/1/31 | 4849.9 | 0.06% | 0.0267 | 0.9924 | 0.0294 | 20630.8 | 4.75 | 1339504 | 15.21 |
2011/2/28 | 4923.6 | 1.52% | 0.0235 | 1.0163 | 0.0262 | 23958.8 | 4.75 | 1359159 | 15.28 |
2011/3/31 | 4928.6 | 0.10% | 0.0442 | 1.0334 | 0.0296 | 35801.1 | 4.75 | 1365948 | 16.55 |
2011/4/29 | 4899 | -0.60% | 0.0339 | 1.09 | 0.0324 | 21972.5 | 4.75 | 1353872 | 16.17 |
2011/5/31 | 4788.9 | -2.25% | 0.0426 | 1.0709 | 0.0382 | 27379.7 | 4.75 | 1322448 | 15.32 |
2011/6/30 | 4659.8 | -2.70% | 0.0429 | 1.0739 | 0.0350 | 27622.4 | 4.75 | 1282323 | 14.83 |
2011/7/29 | 4500.5 | -3.42% | 0.0430 | 1.0954 | 0.0299 | 25657.5 | 4.75 | 1241004 | 14.41 |
2011/8/31 | 4369.8 | -2.90% | 0.0869 | 1.0691 | 0.0464 | 33150.6 | 4.75 | 1204539 | 13.39 |
2011/9/30 | 4070.1 | -6.86% | 0.0809 | 0.9781 | 0.0582 | 29189.3 | 4.75 | 1122754 | 12.23 |
2011/10/31 | 4360.5 | 7.13% | 0.0736 | 1.0509 | 0.0619 | 22168.2 | 4.75 | 1203789 | 12.93 |
2011/11/30 | 4184.7 | -4.03% | 0.0564 | 1.0021 | 0.0446 | 23043.7 | 4.51 | 1150845 | 12.54 |
2011/12/30 | 4111 | -1.76% | 0.0579 | 1.0156 | 0.0427 | 19155.6 | 4.3 | 1110921 | 12.38 |
2012/1/31 | 4325.7 | 5.22% | 0.0383 | 1.0637 | 0.0294 | 16052.3 | 4.25 | 1169315 | 13 |
2012/2/29 | 4388.1 | 1.44% | 0.0352 | 1.0816 | 0.0252 | 23882.7 | 4.25 | 1185756 | 13.7 |
2012/3/30 | 4420 | 0.73% | 0.0326 | 1.0402 | 0.0301 | 24981.3 | 4.25 | 1202787 | 14.07 |
2012/4/30 | 4467.2 | 1.07% | 0.0253 | 1.0453 | 0.0247 | 17181.2 | 4.25 | 1212477 | 14.15 |
2012/5/31 | 4133.7 | -7.47% | 0.0520 | 0.9727 | 0.0364 | 24509.4 | 3.77 | 1124872 | 13.37 |
2012/6/29 | 4135.5 | 0.04% | 0.0423 | 1.0191 | 0.0304 | 21229.1 | 3.54 | 1125319 | 13.42 |
2012/7/31 | 4289.4 | 3.72% | 0.0387 | 1.0526 | 0.0260 | 18060.2 | 3.5 | 1169422 | 13.87 |
2012/8/31 | 4339 | 1.16% | 0.0274 | 1.0301 | 0.0202 | 22386.1 | 3.5 | 1182824 | 14.64 |
2012/9/28 | 4406.3 | 1.55% | 0.0229 | 1.0464 | 0.0277 | 21286.5 | 3.5 | 1201624 | 15.01 |
2012/10/31 | 4535.4 | 2.93% | 0.0243 | 1.0378 | 0.0268 | 19731.7 | 3.27 | 1237237 | 15.43 |
2012/11/30 | 4518 | -0.38% | 0.0298 | 1.0431 | 0.0179 | 19740.1 | 3.25 | 1231184 | 15.56 |
2012/12/31 | 4664.6 | 3.24% | 0.0177 | 1.0384 | 0.0110 | 15566.7 | 3.03 | 1273350 | 16.07 |
2013/1/31 | 4901 | 5.07% | 0.0230 | 1.0394 | 0.0176 | 16767.3 | 3 | 1338122 | 16.87 |
2013/2/28 | 5120.4 | 4.48% | 0.0365 | 1.0275 | 0.0234 | 20369.8 | 3 | 1398533 | 18.62 |
2013/3/29 | 4979.9 | -2.74% | 0.0394 | 1.0426 | 0.0205 | 20807.5 | 3 | 1368938 | 18 |
2013/4/30 | 5168.6 | 3.79% | 0.0383 | 1.0368 | 0.0213 | 19351.6 | 3 | 1420498 | 18.66 |
2013/5/31 | 4914 | -4.93% | 0.0332 | 0.9649 | 0.0397 | 22394.6 | 2.8 | 1349414 | 17.72 |
2013/6/28 | 4775.4 | -2.82% | 0.0476 | 0.9275 | 0.0427 | 20255.1 | 2.75 | 1313446 | 17.26 |
2013/7/31 | 5035.7 | 5.45% | 0.0447 | 0.9037 | 0.0395 | 19332.5 | 2.75 | 1385805 | 18.24 |
2013/8/30 | 5125.3 | 1.78% | 0.0340 | 0.8947 | 0.0335 | 20183.7 | 2.55 | 1411134 | 18.6 |
2013/9/30 | 5217.7 | 1.80% | 0.0286 | 0.9309 | 0.0273 | 19196.9 | 2.5 | 1439990 | 18.49 |
2013/10/31 | 5420.3 | 3.88% | 0.0276 | 0.949 | 0.0219 | 18294.1 | 2.5 | 1496157 | 19.09 |
2013/11/29 | 5314.3 | -1.96% | 0.0249 | 0.9087 | 0.0256 | 16582.2 | 2.5 | 1465298 | 18.2 |
2013/12/31 | 5353.1 | 0.73% | 0.0338 | 0.8948 | 0.0267 | 16033.6 | 2.5 | 1476840 | 17.55 |
2014/1/31 | 5205.1 | -2.76% | 0.0312 | 0.8763 | 0.0324 | 15605.2 | 2.5 | 1436306 | 17.07 |
2014/2/28 | 5415.4 | 4.04% | 0.0300 | 0.8947 | 0.0289 | 19225.9 | 2.5 | 1495858 | 16.83 |
2014/3/31 | 5403 | -0.23% | 0.0280 | 0.9221 | 0.0273 | 20915.3 | 2.5 | 1509122 | 16.97 |
2014/4/30 | 5470.8 | 1.25% | 0.0250 | 0.9287 | 0.0170 | 13911.1 | 2.5 | 1529689 | 17.18 |
2014/5/30 | 5473.8 | 0.05% | 0.0249 | 0.9319 | 0.0154 | 16327.3 | 2.5 | 1523009 | 17.52 |
2014/6/30 | 5382 | -1.68% | 0.0279 | 0.942 | 0.0172 | 16897.1 | 2.5 | 1497850 | 17.29 |
2014/7/31 | 5623.1 | 4.48% | 0.0229 | 0.9324 | 0.0155 | 16377.4 | 2.5 | 1563616 | 17.95 |
2014/8/29 | 5624.6 | 0.03% | 0.0269 | 0.9349 | 0.0164 | 17104.4 | 2.5 | 1562546 | 17.14 |
2014/9/30 | 5296.8 | -5.83% | 0.0304 | 0.8752 | 0.0308 | 18276.4 | 2.5 | 1478396 | 14.69 |
2014/10/31 | 5505 | 3.93% | 0.0361 | 0.8805 | 0.0328 | 19002.3 | 2.5 | 1536817 | 16.39 |
2014/11/28 | 5298.1 | -3.76% | 0.0298 | 0.8491 | 0.0368 | 15414.8 | 2.5 | 1481191 | 15.35 |
2014/12/31 | 5388.6 | 1.71% | 0.0517 | 0.8202 | 0.0268 | 17856.2 | 2.5 | 1509820 | 15.8 |
2015/1/30 | 5551.6 | 3.02% | 0.0356 | 0.7781 | 0.0411 | 15127.6 | 2.5 | 1555839 | 16.28 |
2015/2/27 | 5898.5 | 6.25% | 0.0343 | 0.7792 | 0.0436 | 18518.2 | 2.28 | 1653829 | 17.93 |
2015/3/31 | 5861.9 | -0.62% | 0.0354 | 0.7634 | 0.0371 | 19791.1 | 2.25 | 1666895 | 18.18 |
2015/4/30 | 5773.7 | -1.50% | 0.0346 | 0.7981 | 0.0385 | 14718.9 | 2.25 | 1644238 | 17.96 |
2015/5/29 | 5774.9 | 0.02% | 0.0367 | 0.7663 | 0.0371 | 16723.2 | 2.04 | 1648922 | 17.73 |
2015/6/30 | 5451.2 | -5.61% | 0.0468 | 0.768 | 0.0265 | 17590.5 | 2 | 1553918 | 16.84 |
2015/7/31 | 5681.7 | 4.23% | 0.0472 | 0.7294 | 0.0329 | 16531.3 | 2 | 1624000 | 17.53 |
2015/8/31 | 5222.1 | -8.09% | 0.0662 | 0.7149 | 0.0297 | 18806.2 | 2 | 1496640 | 16.36 |
2015/9/30 | 5058.6 | -3.13% | 0.0727 | 0.701 | 0.0348 | 19898.9 | 2 | 1458501 | 16.62 |
2015/10/30 | 5288.6 | 4.55% | 0.0407 | 0.7099 | 0.0358 | 16891.5 | 2 | 1530502 | 17.38 |
2015/11/30 | 5218.2 | -1.33% | 0.0459 | 0.7189 | 0.0266 | 18014.9 | 2 | 1514585 | 17 |
2015/12/31 | 5344.6 | 2.42% | 0.0476 | 0.7306 | 0.0277 | 16912.3 | 2 | 1556340 | 17.38 |
2016/1/29 | 5056.6 | -5.39% | 0.0478 | 0.71 | 0.0350 | 14665.5 | 2 | 1472464 | 16.49 |
2016/2/29 | 4947.9 | -2.15% | 0.0604 | 0.714 | 0.0405 | 21260.5 | 2 | 1440028 | 16.22 |
2016/3/31 | 5151.8 | 4.12% | 0.0407 | 0.7657 | 0.0415 | 21037.5 | 2 | 1512556 | 17.43 |
2016/4/29 | 5316 | 3.19% | 0.0369 | 0.7655 | 0.0314 | 15683.6 | 2 | 1562011 | 17.99 |
2016/5/31 | 5447.8 | 2.48% | 0.0343 | 0.7242 | 0.0331 | 18535.7 | 1.77 | 1600523 | 19.88 |
2016/6/30 | 5310.4 | -2.52% | 0.0502 | 0.7426 | 0.0318 | 18475.4 | 1.75 | 1561321 | 19.4 |
2016/7/29 | 5644 | 6.28% | 0.0282 | 0.7522 | 0.0255 | 15675.5 | 1.75 | 1661467 | 20.63 |
2016/8/31 | 5529.4 | -2.03% | 0.0249 | 0.7514 | 0.0268 | 17854.1 | 1.52 | 1622714 | 19.95 |
2016/9/30 | 5525.1 | -0.08% | 0.0355 | 0.763 | 0.0265 | 18354.4 | 1.5 | 1625068 | 19.72 |
2016/10/31 | 5402.4 | -2.22% | 0.0272 | 0.7613 | 0.0212 | 15668.4 | 1.5 | 1590262 | 19.34 |
2016/11/30 | 5502.4 | 1.85% | 0.0481 | 0.7474 | 0.0323 | 19413.0 | 1.5 | 1621542 | 20.45 |
2016/12/30 | 5719.1 | 3.94% | 0.0296 | 0.7236 | 0.0241 | 16335.0 | 1.5 | 1685399 | 21.24 |
2017/1/31 | 5675 | -0.77% | 0.0276 | 0.7567 | 0.0214 | 13953.8 | 1.5 | 1672837 | 21.11 |
2017/2/28 | 5761 | 1.52% | 0.0197 | 0.7688 | 0.0150 | 17893.0 | 1.5 | 1698852 | 19.52 |
2017/3/31 | 5903.8 | 2.48% | 0.0292 | 0.7644 | 0.0259 | 20731.3 | 1.5 | 1755295 | 19.89 |
2017/4/28 | 5947.6 | 0.74% | 0.0186 | 0.7475 | 0.0190 | 15748.2 | 1.5 | 1769323 | 20.05 |
2017/5/31 | 5761.3 | -3.13% | 0.0252 | 0.745 | 0.0262 | 20384.5 | 1.5 | 1707562 | 18.32 |
2017/6/30 | 5764 | 0.05% | 0.0394 | 0.7692 | 0.0206 | 19770.3 | 1.5 | 1708808 | 18.36 |
2017/7/31 | 5773.9 | 0.17% | 0.0344 | 0.7987 | 0.0312 | 16985.1 | 1.5 | 1714070 | 18.35 |
2017/8/31 | 5776.3 | 0.04% | 0.0247 | 0.7898 | 0.0255 | 20619.9 | 1.5 | 1717025 | 17.12 |
2017/9/29 | 5744.9 | -0.54% | 0.0169 | 0.7839 | 0.0277 | 16965.3 | 1.5 | 1711706 | 16.4 |
2017/10/31 | 5976.4 | 4.03% | 0.0209 | 0.7673 | 0.0228 | 16724.2 | 1.5 | 1783772 | 16.93 |
2017/11/30 | 6057.2 | 1.35% | 0.0197 | 0.7585 | 0.0172 | 17557.7 | 1.5 | 1807337 | 17.02 |
2017/12/29 | 6167.3 | 1.82% | 0.0137 | 0.78 | 0.0223 | 15675.8 | 1.5 | 1844990 | 17.36 |
2018/1/31 | 6146.5 | -0.34% | 0.0177 | 0.8073 | 0.0186 | 16649.1 | 1.5 | 1839449 | 17.34 |
2018/2/28 | 6117.3 | -0.48% | 0.0444 | 0.7792 | 0.0271 | 17936.8 | 1.5 | 1833577 | 16.97 |
2018/3/29 | 5868.9 | -4.06% | 0.0324 | 0.7665 | 0.025 | 18653.4 | 1.5 | 1777041 | 16.3 |
2018/4/30 | 6071.6 | 3.45% | 0.016 | 0.7570 | 0.0192 | 16695.2 | 1.5 | 1840001 | 16.87 |
2018/5/31 | 6123.5 | 0.85% | 0.0184 | 0.7564 | 0.0254 | 20732.7 | 1.5 | 1855652 | 17.1 |
2018/6/30 | 6289.7 | 2.71% | 0.0230 | 0.7391 | 0.0241 | 23759.5 | 1.5 | 1898099 | 17.6 |
2018/7/31 | 6366.2 | 1.22% | 0.0243 | 0.7431 | 0.0230 | 15917.3 | 1.5 | 1921867 | 17.79 |
A)
average AOret before GFC= 0.845287 %
average AOret after GFC= 0.374412 %
Standard deviation (std dev) of AOret before GFC= 2.91 %
No of sample points before GFC = 87
standard error of the sample == .00291/ (87^0.5)= .00312
For 5 % significance level we will check whether these two averages are statistically different. To do that we will calculate 95 % confidence interval around before/after GFC mean.
Let us take before GFC average and calculate confidence interval. As we do not know population variance, we will use t- distribution to decide confidence interval
Lower bound= mean - (critical value from t table* standard error)= 0.00845287-(1.99*0.00312)=0.00224407
Upper bound= mean + (critical value from t table* standard error)= 0.00845287+(1.99*0.00312)=0.01466167
the range for confidence interval at 95% confidence interval for before GFC is: 0.224407% - 1.466167%
Average value of after GFC i.e. 0.374412 % lies between these critical values. Hence, we can conclude that the average AOret is the same before and after the GFC.
B)
Average AOSD during the period= 3.82%
Average AUDSD during the period= 3.29%
We will calculate one tail 95% confidence interval for AUDSD to confirm whether average AOSD is greater than average AUDSD.
Standard deviation (std dev) of AOSD = 0.015848
No of sample points before GFC = 220
standard error of the sample == 0.015848/ (220^0.5)= 0.001068
Upper bound= mean + (critical value from t table* standard error)= 0.0329+(1.664*0.001068)=0..034677152
At 95% confidence level we can prove that average AOSD is greater than average AUDSD, which indirectly means that these values are statistically significant from each other and average AOSD is greater than average AUDSD.