In: Finance
The Duo Growth Company just paid a dividend of $1.00 per share. The dividend is expected to grow at a rate of 21% per year for the next three years and then to level off to 5% per year forever. You think the appropriate market capitalization rate is 16% per year.
a. What is your estimate of the intrinsic value of a share of the stock?
b. b. If the market price of a share is equal to this intrinsic value, what is the expected dividend yield?
a. | $ 14.10 | |||||
Working: | ||||||
As per dividend discount model, current price of stock is the present value of future dividends. | ||||||
Step-1:Present value of dividends of next 3 years | ||||||
Year | Dividend | Discount factor | Present value | |||
a | b | c=1.16^-a | d=b*c | |||
1 | $ 1.21 | 0.862069 | $ 1.04 | |||
2 | $ 1.46 | 0.743163 | $ 1.09 | |||
3 | $ 1.77 | 0.640658 | $ 1.13 | |||
Total | $ 3.27 | |||||
Working: | ||||||
Dividend of Year: | ||||||
1 | = | $ 1.00 | * | 1.21 | = | $ 1.21 |
2 | = | $ 1.21 | * | 1.21 | = | $ 1.46 |
3 | = | $ 1.46 | * | 1.21 | = | $ 1.77 |
Step-2:Present value of dividend after year 3 | ||||||
Present value | = | D3*(1+g)/(K-g)*DF3 | Where, | |||
= | $ 10.83 | D3 | $ 1.77 | |||
g | 5% | |||||
K | 16.00% | |||||
DF3 | 0.640658 | |||||
Step-3:Sum of present value of future dividends | ||||||
Sum of present value of future dividends | = | $ 3.27 | + | $ 10.83 | ||
= | $ 14.10 | |||||
So, price of stock is | $ 14.10 | |||||
b. | Dividend yield | = | Annual dividend | / | Current market price | |
= | $ 1.21 | / | $ 14.10 | |||
= | 8.58% |