In: Finance
FIND THE STOCK VALUE
1.A firm is expected to have a high growth rate in the next 3years and a stable growth rate of 5% a year forever after that. Use the following information to find the stock value.
Inputs for the high growth period:
Current earnings per share (EPS0) = $4.00
Current dividend per share ((DPS0) = $1.00
Length of the high-growth period = 3years
Long-term bond rate (proxy for the risk-free rate) = 5%
Market risk premium = 6%
Beta of the stock for the high-growth period= 1.7
Return on assets (ROA) during the high growth period = 23%
Debt to equity ratio during the high growth period = 0.70
Before-tax interest rate on debt for the high growth period = 7%
Tax rate during the high growth period = 25%
Inputs for the stable growth period:
Stable growth rate forever = 5%
Beta of the stock for the stable growth period = 1.1
Long-term bond rate (proxy for the risk free rate) = 5%
Market risk premium = 6%
Return on assets (ROA) during the stable growth period = 0.16
Debt to equity ratio during the stable growth period = 0.70
Before-tax interest rate on debt for the stable growth period = 6%
Tax rate during the stable growth period = 25%
Assume that the dividend payout ratio remains constant at the current level for the first three years.
The two-stage dividend discount model has two components:
- A high-growth phase, and ,
- A stable growth phase.
It assumes that dividends will go through two stages of growth.
Dividend growth rate (High-growth period):
Dividend growth rate for the high growth period= ROE * Retention Ratio
Where ROE= Return on Assets* Leverage(D/E Ratio)
Therefore, ROE for the high growth period= 23*0.7= 16.1%
Retention Ratio = 1- Payout ratio= 75%
Dividend growth rate for the high growth period = ROE*Retention ratio= 16.1* 0.75 = 12.08%
ROE For the Stable Growth Period:
ROE= Return on Assets* Leverage(D/E Ratio)
= 16% * 0.70= 11.2%
Inputs:
Value of stock:
Sources:
Investopedia
EfinanceMgmt