In: Statistics and Probability
A particular heart disease is said to have a prevalence of 1/1000 in a specific population. In a sample of 50 people chosen randomly, what is the probability that at least two people have this disease?
p=1/1000 =0.001
q=1-0.001 = 0.999
n=50
P(atleast two ) =P(r>= 2) =1-P(r<2)
P=nCr p^r q^(n-r)
P(r<2) =P(r=0) +P(r=1)
= 50C0 (0.001)^0 (0.999)^50 + 50C1 (0.001)^1 (0.999)^49
=0.9512056 + 0.047607
= 0.9988
P(atleast two ) =P(r>= 2) =1-P(r<2)
=1-0.9988
= 0.0012