In: Statistics and Probability
Suppose you just purchased a digital music player and have put 13 tracks on it. After listening to them you decide that you like 4 of the songs. With the random feature on your? player, each of the 13 songs is played once in random order. Find the probability that among the first two songs played ?(a) You like both of them. Would this be? unusual? ?(b) You like neither of them. ?(c) You like exactly one of them. ?(d) Redo? (a)-(c) if a song can be replayed before all 13 songs are played. ?(a) The probablility that you like both songs is nothing. ?(Round to three decimal places as? needed.) Would it be unusual for you to like both of the? songs? No Yes ?(b) The probability that you like neither song is nothing. ?(Round to three decimal places as? needed.) ?(c) The probability that you like exactly one song is nothing. ?(Round to three decimal places as? needed.) ?(d) The probability that you like both songs is nothing. ?(Round to three decimal places as? needed.) The probability that you like neither song is nothing. ?(Round to three decimal places as? needed.) The probability that you like exactly one song is nothing. ?(Round to three decimal places as? needed.)
(a)
(i)
like = 4
do not like = 9
Total songs = 13
P(First song: like) = 4/13 = 0.3077
like = 3
do not like = 9
Total songs = 12
P(Second song: like) = 3/12 = 0.25
So,
P(Like both of them) = 0.3077 X 0.25 = 0.0769
So,
Answer is:
0.077
This would not be unusual because Probability = 7.69 % > 5%
(b)
(i)
like = 4
do not like = 9
Total songs = 13
P(First song: do not like) = 9/13 = 0.6923
like = 4
do not like = 8
Total songs = 12
P(Second song: do not like) = 8/12 = 0.6667
So,
P(like neither of them) = 0.6923 X 0.6667 = 0.4615
So,
Answer is:
0.462
(c)
(i)
Case 1: First: like. AND Second: do not like:
like = 4
do not like = 9
Total songs = 13
P(First song: like) = 4/13 = 0.3077
like = 3
do not like = 9
Total songs = 12
P(Second song: do not like) = 9/12 = 0.75
So,
P(First: Like AND Second: do not like) = 0.3077 X 0.75 = 0.2308
Case 2: First: do not like. AND Second: like:
like = 4
do not like = 9
Total songs = 13
P(First song: do not like) = 9/13 = 0.6923
like = 4
do not like = 8
Total songs = 12
P(Second song: like) = 4/12 = 0.3333
So,
P(First: do not like AND Second: like) = 0.6923 X 0.3333 = 0.2308
So,
P(like exactly one of them) = 0.2308 + 0.2308 = 0.4615
Answer is:
0.462
(d)
(i)
like = 4
do not like = 9
Total songs = 13
P(First song: like) = 4/13 = 0.3077
like = 4
do not like = 9
Total songs = 13
P(Second song: like) = 4/13 = 0.3077
So,
P(Like both of them) = 0.30772 = 0.095
So,
Answer is:
0.095
(ii)
like = 4
do not like = 9
Total songs = 13
P(First song: do not like) = 9/13 = 0.6923
like = 4
do not like = 9
Total songs = 13
P(Second song: do not like) = 9/13 = 0.6923
So,
P(like neither of them) = 0.69232 = 0.479
So,
Answer is:
0.479
(iii)
Case 1: First: like. AND Second: do not like:
like = 4
do not like = 9
Total songs = 13
P(First song: like) = 4/13 = 0.3077
like = 4
do not like = 9
Total songs = 13
P(Second song: do not like) = 9/13 = 0.6923
So,
P(First: Like AND Second: do not like) = 0.3077 X 0.6923 = 0.2130
Case 2: First: do not like. AND Second: like:
like = 4
do not like = 9
Total songs = 13
P(First song: do not like) = 9/13 = 0.6923
like = 4
do not like = 9
Total songs = 13
P(Second song: like) = 4/13 = 0.3077
So,
P(First: do not like AND Second: like) = 0.6923 X 0.3077 = 0.2130
So,
P(like exactly one of them) = 0.2130 X 2 = 0.4260
Answer is:
0.426