In: Statistics and Probability
Consider the probability that no more than 49 out of 140 students will graduate on time. Assume the probability that a given student will graduate on time is 64%.
Specify whether the normal curve can be used as an approximation to the binomial probability by verifying the necessary conditions.
Solution:
Given that,
P = 0.64
1 - P = 0.36
n = 140
Here, BIN ( n , P ) that is , BIN (140 , 0.64)
then,
n*p = 140*0.64 = 89.6 > 5
n(1- P) = 140*0.36 = 50.4 > 5
According to normal approximation binomial,
X Normal
Mean = = n*P = 89.6
Standard deviation = =n*p*(1-p) = 140*0.64*0.36 = 32.256
We using countinuity correction factor
P( X a ) = P(X < a + 0.5)
P(x < 49.5) = P((x - ) / < (49.5 - 89.6) /32.256 )
= P(z < -7.06)
= 0.0000
Probability = 0
The probability that no more than 49 out of 140 students will graduate on time is 0.0000