In: Economics
What types of jobs/occupations are most likely to be displaced? Which are least likely?
By 2030 most people won't own their own vehicles. They'll call a service like Uber when they need to go somewhere and a driverless car will turn up at their location and take them wherever they need to go. Insurance premiums for running a car manually would rise prohibitively. Item delivery companies will go driverless, but in each car there will still always be a delivery person to carry deliveries from curb to office, porch, etc. Long haul trucks are likely to be driverless but may have a guard
New research suggests that in the near future only basic roles inside workers will be replaced, rather than whole professions themselves, by automation, with some workers more heavily impacted than others. There are at least some tasks in almost every profession that will be affected by automation, but in every profession there are still several tasks that won't. So there will still be work to do, but not in the form we know today. Staff will be resilient and will retrain themselves with new skills to complete new tasks that automation will bring about.
Jobs least likely to be displaced are:
Higher cognitive: these competencies include advanced reading
and writing skills, quantitative and mathematical competencies,
analytical thinking, and complex processing of knowledge. These are
usually used for physicians, accountants, statistical analysts,
authors and editors.
Social and emotional abilities, or so-called "soft skills," include
professional communication and persuasion, empathy, the ability to
learn constantly, handle others, and adapt. Those skills are
required for business growth, planning, emergency response and
counselling.