In: Statistics and Probability
Let x be a random variable that represents the weights in kilograms (kg) of healthy adult female deer (does) in December in a national park. Then x has a distribution that is approximately normal with mean μ = 70.0 kg and standard deviation σ = 7.3 kg. Suppose a doe that weighs less than 61 kg is considered undernourished.
(a) What is the probability that a single doe captured (weighed
and released) at random in December is undernourished? (Round your
answer to four decimal places.)
(b) If the park has about 2650 does, what number do you expect to
be undernourished in December? (Round your answer to the nearest
whole number.)
does
(c) To estimate the health of the December doe population, park
rangers use the rule that the average weight of n = 45
does should be more than 67 kg. If the average weight is less than
67 kg, it is thought that the entire population of does might be
undernourished. What is the probability that the average weight
x
for a random sample of 45 does is less than 67 kg (assuming a
healthy population)? (Round your answer to four decimal
places.)
(d) Compute the probability that
x
< 71.2 kg for 45 does (assume a healthy population). (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
Answer :
Given data is :
Mean =70.0 kg
Standard deviation = 7.3kg
a) What is the probability that a single doe captured (weighed and released) at random in December is undernourished?
mean = 70
Standard deviation = 7.3
P(X < 61) = P(X <(61 - 70)/7.3)
= P (Z<-9 / 7.3)
=P (Z<-1.2329)
=0.1093
p value = 0.1093
b) If the park has about 2650 does, what number do you expect to be undernourished in December?
Given n = 2650
so ,
expected number = n * p value
= 2650 * 0.1093
= 289.645
= 290
expected number = 290
c) To estimate the health of the December doe population, park rangers use the rule that the average weight of n = 45 does should be more than 67 kg. If the average weight is less than 67 kg, it is thought that the entire population of does might be undernourished. What is the probability that the average weight x for a random sample of 45 does is less than 67 kg.
Given n = 45 , E(Xbar) = 70 ,
sd(Xbar) = 7.3/sqrt(n)
= 7.3/sqrt(45)
= 7.3 / 6.708
=1.09
p =P(Z < 67 - 70/sd)
= P (Z<−3 / 1.09)
= P (Z<−2.75)
=0.0030
P Value = 0.0030
d) Compute the probability that x < 71.2 kg for 45 does
P(Xbar < 71.2) = P(Z < 71.2 - 70 / 1.09)
=P(Z < 1.2 / 1.09)
= P(Z < 1.10)
= 0.8643
P value = 0.8643
so here, the sample average is greater the mean, it is quite not liked ,that the doe population is undernourished.