In: Math
Find the indicated probabilities using the geometric distribution, the Poisson distribution, or the binomial distribution. Then determine if the events are unusual. If convenient, use the appropriate probability table or technology to find the probabilities.
The mean number of oil tankers at a port city is
1313
per day. The port has facilities to handle up to
1717
oil tankers in a day. Find the probability that on a given day, (a)
thirteenthirteen
oil tankers will arrive, (b) at most three oil tankers will arrive, and (c) too many oil tankers will arrive.
Let X is a random variable shows the number of tankers arrive per day. It is given that average number of tankers arrive per day is 13 so here X will have Poisson distribution with parameter .
The pdf of X is
(a)
The probability that on a given day thirteen oil tankers will arrive is
Excel function used to find the probability is ; "=POISSON(13,13,FALSE)"
Answer: 0.1099
(b)
The probability that at most three oil tankers will arrive is
Excel function used to find the probability is ; "=POISSON(3,13,TRIE)"
Answer: 0.0011
(c)
Too many oil tankers will arrive means more than 17 tankers will arrive.
The probability that too many oil tankers will arrive is
Excel function used to find the probability is ; "=1-POISSON(17,13,TRUE)"
Answer: 0.1095