Question

In: Statistics and Probability

According to the Chronicles of Contrived Statistics (March, 2016), the probability that Elon Musk will offer...

According to the Chronicles of Contrived Statistics (March, 2016), the probability that Elon Musk will offer you a free trip into space in the next month is 40%. The probability that scientists at Area 51 will begin sales of pet aliens in the next month is 26%. Finally, they list that probability of both happening in the next month is 16%. What is the probability that either Elon Musk will offer you a free trip into space or scientists will begin sales of pet aliens in the next month?

Answer in decimal form. Round to two decimal places as needed.

Solutions

Expert Solution

P(Elon Musk will offer you a free trip into space) = 0.4

P(scientists at Area 51 will begin sales of pet aliens) = 0.26

P(both happening) = 0.16

P(Elon Musk will offer you a free trip into space or scientists will begin sales of pet aliens) = P(Elon Musk will offer you a free trip into space) + P(scientists at Area 51 will begin sales of pet aliens) - P(both happening)

                                            = 0.4 + 0.26 - 0.16

                                            = 0.5


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