Question

In: Economics

If corporate downsizing and lack of job security cause consumers to spend less and save more,...

If corporate downsizing and lack of job security cause consumers to spend less and save more, what will be the impact on the exchange rate and trade balance?

a. Use the basic version of the long-run model of a small open economy to illustrate graphically the impact of this decline in consumer confidence on the exchange rate and the trade balance. Assume the country starts from a position of trade balance, i.e., exports equal imports. Be sure to label:

i. the axes
ii. the curves
iii. the initial equilibrium values
iv. the direction the curves shift
v. the new long-run equilibrium values.

b. Based on your graphical analysis, explain the predicted impact of a decline in consumer confidence on the exchange rate and the domestic economy's trade balance.

Solutions

Expert Solution

(a)

Lower consumer confidence will decrease consumption and increase savings. The savings curve shifts rightward, decreasing interest rate and increasing equilibrium saving and investment.

When interest rate decreases, net capital outflow increases, thereby increasing net exports (which equals net capital outflow) and decreasing exchange rate. Since net exports is identical to trade balance, this leads to higher trade balance.

(b)

In following graph, panel A depicts saving (S) and investment (I) curves. S0 and I0 are initial saving and investment curves intersecting at point A with initial interest rate r0 and initial savings & investment Q0.

When savings increase, S0 shifts right to S1, intersecting I0 at point B with lower interest rate r1 and higher quantity of saving and investment Q1.

In panel B (depicting net capital outflow as inverse function of interest rate), lower interest rate from r0 to r1 increases net capital outflow from NCO0 to NC01.

In panel C (depicting net exports as inverse function of exchange rate), an increase in net capital outflow from NCO0 to NCO1 increases net exports from NX0 to NX1 and decreases exchange rate from e0 to e1.


Related Solutions

Arthur, age 32, loses his job in a corporate downsizing. As a result of his termination,...
Arthur, age 32, loses his job in a corporate downsizing. As a result of his termination, he receives a distribution of the balance in his § 401(k) account of $20,000 ($25,000 − $5,000 Federal income tax withholding) on May 1, 2018. Arthur's marginal tax rate is 24%. a. What effect will the distribution have on Arthur’s gross income and tax liability if he invests the $20,000 received in a mutual fund? b. Same as part (a) except that Arthur invests...
A security has a beta of 1.20. Is this security more or less risky than the?...
A security has a beta of 1.20. Is this security more or less risky than the? market? Explain. Assess the impact on the required return of this security in each of the following cases. a. The market return increases by? 15%. b. The market return decreases by? 8%. c. The market return remains unchanged. A security has a beta of 1.20. Is this security more or less risky than the? market????(Select the best choice? below.) A. The security and the...
has the pandemic and income allowed consumers to spend more at resturants and the food industry?
has the pandemic and income allowed consumers to spend more at resturants and the food industry?
Do consumers spend more on a trip to Target compared to Walmart? Suppose researchers interested in...
Do consumers spend more on a trip to Target compared to Walmart? Suppose researchers interested in this question collected a random sample from 80 Target customers and 85 Walmart customers by asking customers for their purchase amount as they left the stores. The 80 Target customers have the mean purchase amount $53 and the standard deviation $19. The 85 Walmart customers have the mean purchase amount $45 and the standard deviation $21. [2 points] Is the data collected from independent...
Do consumers spend more on a trip to Store A or Store​ B? Suppose researchers interested...
Do consumers spend more on a trip to Store A or Store​ B? Suppose researchers interested in this question collected a systematic sample from 85 Store A customers and 82 Store B customers by asking customers for their purchase amount as they left the stores. The data collected is summarized by the accompanying table. Suppose researchers decide to test the hypothesis that the means are equal. The degrees of freedom formula gives 164.33 Test the null hypothesis at 0.05 Store...
1.   Do consumers spend more on a trip to Walmart or Target? Suppose researchers interested in...
1.   Do consumers spend more on a trip to Walmart or Target? Suppose researchers interested in this question collected a systematic sample from 85 Walmart customers and 80 Target customers by asking customers for their purchase amount as they left the stores. The data collected are summarized in the table below.     Walmart Target sample size 85 80 sample mean $45 $53 sample std dev $20 $18 a.   Check the conditions to create a confidence interval for the difference in...
According to the “Energy Conservation” article in the course pack, will consumers use more or less...
According to the “Energy Conservation” article in the course pack, will consumers use more or less electricity on lighting when energy efficiency increases with the growth of LED bulbs? Why?
1. When interest rates are low, people are more likely to spend (or borrow) and less...
1. When interest rates are low, people are more likely to spend (or borrow) and less likely to save. This is consistent with the slopes of both the demand and supply in the loanable funds market. True False 2. The loanable funds market is a fundamental piece of a country's ability to grow and develop. True False 3. Which of the following would SHIFT the demand for loanable funds to the RIGHT (i.e. INCREASE). Select all that apply. Expectations that...
39. Which of the following may shift the consumption function upward (Consumers spend more of any...
39. Which of the following may shift the consumption function upward (Consumers spend more of any given amount of disposable income)? An increase in disposable income A decrease in interest rates A significant decrease in stock prices A decrease in people's ability to borrow 40. A government budget deficit has which of the following effects in the market for Investment funds? Decreases the amount of private saving by households Increases the level of investment in the economy Reduces the availability...
Price discrimination is simply identifying groups or individual consumers that will either pay more or less...
Price discrimination is simply identifying groups or individual consumers that will either pay more or less for the same product based on differences in demand. However, sellers should only use this tactic when selling products that have low marginal costs or less elastic in demand since these products have the largest gap between price and marginal cost (Froeb, McCann, Shor, Ward, & Micheal, 2014). Using direct price discrimination is only beneficial to sellers that can classify groups of consumers and...
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT