In: Statistics and Probability
A company has recorded data on the weekly sales for its product (y) ($10), the unit price of the competitor's product (x1), and advertising expenditures (x2) ($10). The data resulting from a random sample of 7 weeks follows. Use Excel's Regression Tool to answer the following questions:
Week | Price | Advertising | Sales |
1 | .33 | 5 | 20 |
2 | .25 | 2 | 14 |
3 | .44 | 7 | 22 |
4 | .40 | 9 | 21 |
5 | .35 | 4 | 16 |
6 | .39 | 8 | 19 |
7 | .29 | 9 | 15 |
1. What is the estimated weekly sales if the unit price is $0.40, and advertising is $50? How does sales ($10) units and advertising ($10) fit into this answer?
2. What is the marginal contribution of price to sales? Again, how does the units being in terms of $10 for advertising and sales affect the overall answer?
1.
Week | Price(X1) | Advertising(X2) | Sales(Y) |
1 | 0.33 | 5 | 20 |
2 | 0.25 | 2 | 14 |
3 | 0.44 | 7 | 22 |
4 | 0.4 | 9 | 21 |
5 | 0.35 | 4 | 16 |
6 | 0.39 | 8 | 19 |
7 | 0.29 | 9 | 15 |
Sum of X1 = 2.45
Sum of X2 = 44
Sum of Y = 127
Mean X1 = 0.35
Mean X2 = 6.2857
Mean Y = 18.1429
Sum of squares (SSX1) = 0.0262
Sum of squares (SSX2) = 43.4286
Sum of products (SPX1Y) = 1.09
Sum of products (SPX2Y) = 23.7143
Sum of products (SPX1X2) = 0.56
Regression Equation = y = b1X1 +
b2X2 + a
b1 =
((SPX1Y)*(SSX2)-(SPX1X2)*(SPX2Y))
/
((SSX1)*(SSX2)-(SPX1X2)*(SPX1X2))
= 34.06/0.82 = 41.32002
b2 =
((SPX2Y)*(SSX1)-(SPX1X2)*(SPX1Y))
/
((SSX1)*(SSX2)-(SPX1X2)*(SPX1X2))
= 0.01/0.82 = 0.01324
a = MY - b1MX1 -
b2MX2 = 18.14 - (41.32*0.35) -
(0.01*6.29) = 3.59762
y = 41.32X1 +
0.01324X2 + 3.598
Also using excel the equation found was same
Predicted sales for X1 = 0.4 and X2 = 5 ( 50$/10$ = 5 .. factor 10$)
Sales y = 20.1918
Now 10$ factor so sales will be 20.19*10$ = $201.9
Now if unit not taken 10 $ so
Week | Price(X1) | Advertising(X2) | Sales(Y) |
1 | 0.33 | 50 | 200 |
2 | 0.25 | 20 | 140 |
3 | 0.44 | 70 | 220 |
4 | 0.4 | 90 | 210 |
5 | 0.35 | 40 | 160 |
6 | 0.39 | 80 | 190 |
7 | 0.29 | 90 | 150 |
y = 413.20022X1 + 0.01324X2 + 35.97615
But again for X1 = 0.4 and X2 = 50$ sales value is same 201.9$ so it won't effect the sales
2. Marginal Contribution of Price is 41.32
But if not 10$ then marginal contribution is 413.2$ which is 10 times the first one.
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