In: Finance
A financial analyst has been following Davis Inc., a new high-tech firm. He estimates that the current risk-free rate (rF) is 6.25%, the market risk premium (rM - rF) is 5%, and the firm’s beta is 1.75. The current dividend just paid (D0) is $1.00. The analyst estimates that the company’s dividend will grow at a rate of 25% this year, 20% next year, and 15% the following year. After three years the dividend is expected to grow at a constant rate of 7% a year. The analyst believes that the stock is fairly priced. What’s the horizon value (terminal value) of the stock at the end of year 3 for the constant growth period?
$23.07 |
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$23.83 |
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$25.42 |
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$26.85 |
calculate the current price of the stock.
$15.62 |
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$17.21 |
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$18.53 |
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$19.83 |
r or cost of equity=6.25%+1.75*5%=15.00%
What’s the horizon value (terminal value) of the stock at the end of year 3
=(1.00*(1+25%)*(1+20%)*(1+15%)*(1+7%))/(15.00%-7%)
=23.07
the current price of the stock
=(1.00*(1+25%))/(1+15.00%)^1+(1.00*(1+25%)*(1+20%))/(1+15.00%)^2+(1.00*(1+25%)*(1+20%)*(1+15%))/(1+15.00%)^3+((1.00*(1+25%)*(1+20%)*(1+15%)*(1+7%))/(15.00%-7%))/(1+15.00%)^3
=18.53