In: Statistics and Probability
A part has a mean of 75.51 mm with an LSL of 75.29 and a USL of 75.71 and a standard deviation of 0.08mm. Any part above the USL is reground for a cost of $3.10. Every rejected part (below LSL) costs $4.65 for parts and labor. A modification costs $6200. The modification brings the standard deviation to 0.04 mm. How many parts of production (including good and bad parts) does it take for this modification to pay for itself?
Solution
Let X = measurement of the part under question.
We assume X ~ N(µ, σ2), where given µ = 75.51, and σ = 0.08 …………………..........................................………………… (1)
Back-up Theory
If a random variable X ~ N(µ, σ2), i.e., X has Normal Distribution with mean µ and variance σ2, then, Z = (X - µ)/σ ~ N(0, 1), i.e., Standard Normal Distribution and hence P(X ≤ or ≥ t) = P[{(X - µ)/σ} ≤ or ≥ {(t - µ)/σ}] = P[Z ≤ or ≥ {(t - µ)/σ}] ...……...…(2)
Probability values for the Standard Normal Variable, Z, can be directly read off from Standard Normal Tables ………….… (2a)
or can be found using Excel Function: Statistical, NORMSDIST(z) which gives P(Z ≤ z) …...................................................(2b)
Now to work out the solution,
Also given LSL = 75.29, USL = 75.71 …………………………......…………………………….. (3)
Proportion of oversize (above USL)
= P(X > 75.71) [vide (3)]
= P[Z > {(75.71 – 75.51)/0.08}] [vide (2) and (1)]
= P(Z > 2.5)
= 0.0062 [vide (2b)] …………………………………………………………....…….....…………… (4)
Proportion of undersize (below LSL)
= P(X < 75.29) [vide (3)]
= P[Z > {(75.29 – 75.51)/0.08}] [vide (2) and (1)]
= P(Z > - 2.75)
= 0.0030 [vide (2b)] …………………………………………………………......……………...……. (5)
Just for ease in presentation and explanation, let the production quantity be 10000
(4) and (5) =>
number of oversize parts = 10000 x 0.0062 = 62 and
number of undersize parts = 10000 x 0.0030 = 30 ………………………………………...……… (6)
Given undersize parts cost $4.65 and oversize parts are reworked at a cost of $3.10, (6) =>
Total cost per 10000 production = (62 x 4.65) + (30 x 3.10) = 381.3 ……………………………. (7)
Now, with modification, σ = 0.04 and reworking as above,
Proportion of oversize (above USL)
= P(X > 75.71) [vide (3)]
= P[Z > {(75.71 – 75.51)/0.04}] [vide (2) and (1)]
= P(Z > 5)
= 0.00000029 [vide (2b)] ……………………………………………………………....…………… (4a)
Proportion of undersize (below LSL)
= P(X < 75.29) [vide (3)]
= P[Z > {(75.29 – 75.51)/0.04}] [vide (2) and (1)]
= P(Z > - 5.5)
= 0.000000019 [vide (2b)] ………………………………....…………………………...……………. (5a)
So, for a production quantity of 10000
(4a) and (5a) =>
number of oversize parts = 10000 x 0.00000029 = 0.0029 and
number of undersize parts = 10000 x 0.000000019 = 0.00019 ………………..…….…………… (6a)
Total cost per 10000 production = (0.0029 x 4.65) + (0.00019 x 3.10) = 0.0194 ………………. (7a)
(7) and (7a) => cost saving per 10000 production = 381.30 – 0.0194 = 381.2816 ………………. (8)
Given the cost of modification = 6200, quantity of production required to pay the modification cost
= 10000 x (6200/381.2816)
= 162609 Answer
DONE