In: Economics
discuss how to use the S-shaped utility function under prospect theory to explain the inverse-S-shaped subjective probability weighting function
The prospect theory replaces the utility function using value
function, over gains and losses relative to a reference point. When
the distance from relevant point increases, the marginal impact of
change in value diminishes. This theory introduced different type
of comparison into evaluation of choices under risky situation.
Here the ratio between slope of loss function and slope of gain
function is called loss aversion. In simple this theory explains
the subjective transformation of objective outcomes. Decision
makers select their choice by ignoring small difference of a
choice.
The conditions of probability weighting function are concavity,
convexity and related conditions. Concavity explains that an extra
unit of probability has greater impact for small probabilities than
large probabilities. Convexity is identical to concavity, only the
sign of equality changed.
In both the theories the S shaped curve is used; which explain
value diminishes using the concept of concavity ad convexity. In
probability weighting theory, it only shows the range of small
probabilities which is greater than the larger one. But in prospect
theory, there is a reference point denoted. Using that one we can
measure the exact gain or loss from this extra unit of
probability.