In: Math
An fair die is thrown double times. Assume that the event A is “odd number on the first throw” and B the event “odd number on the second throw”. Compare the independence of the events A and B.
Let us consider two independent events A and B, then P(A ∩ B) = P(A). P(B)
when an unbiased die is thrown twice
S = {(1,1)(1,2)(1,3)(1,4)(1,5)(1,6)
(2,1)(2,2)(2,3)(2,4)(2,5)(2,6)
(3,1)(3,2)(3,3)(3,4)(3,5)(3,6)
(4,1)(4,2)(4,3)(4,4)(4,5)(4,6)
(5,1)(5,2)(5,3)(5,4)(5,5)(5,6)
(6,1)(6,2)(6,3)(6,4)(6,5)(6,6)}
Let us describe two events as
A: odd number on the first throw
B: odd number on the second throw
To find P(A)
A = {(1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), …, (1, 6)
(3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 3), …, (3, 6)
(5, 1), (5, 2), (5, 3), …, (5, 6)}
Thus, P (A) = 18/36 = 1/2
To find P(B)
B = {(1, 1), (2, 1), (3, 1), …, (6, 1)
(1, 3), (2, 3), (3, 3), …, (6, 3)
(1, 5), (2, 5), (3, 5), …, (6, 5)}
Thus, P (B) = 18/36 = 1/2
A ∩ B = odd number on the first & second throw = { (1, 1), (1, 3), (1, 5), (3, 1), (3, 3), (3, 5), (5, 1), (5, 3), (5, 5)}
So, P(A ∩ B) = 9/36 = 1/ 4
Now, P(A). P(B) = (1/2) × (1/2) = 1/4
As P(A ∩ B) = P(A). P(B),
The two events A and B are independent events.