In: Economics
Use the sticky-wage theory of aggregate supply to explain the short-run Phillips Curve
We first derive the aggregate supply equation using Sticky-Wage Theory:
Nominal Wage (W) is set on basis of target w and Price level
Pe
W = w*Pe
Dividing both sides by P
W/P = w*(Pe/P)
w = target real wage
Three possibilities:
If P = Pe, then output is at natural level
If P > Pe, then ?rms higher more workers and output will rise
above the natural level
If P < Pe, then output is less than the natural level
Now, a typical ?rm will set the desired price level as
following:
p = P + (Y - Ybar)
> 0
Y bar is the natural level of output
In the sticky price model, firms must set an expectation of price
and output level. So,
p = Pe +
(Ye - Ybar)
Now let f = fraction of firms with sticky prices , then above
equation can be written as:
P = sPe + (1 - s)[P +
(Y - Ybar)]
where Pe = price set by sticky price firms
and P +
(Y - Ybar) set by the flexible price firms
Now, we subtract (1-s)P from both LHS and RHS
sP = sPe + (1-s)[
(Y - Ybar)]
Divide both sides by s
P = Pe + [(1-s)
/s]*(Y - Ybar)
Now, solving for Y
[(1-s) /s]*(Y - Ybar) = P - Pe
(Y - Ybar) = [s /(1-s) ] * (P - Pe)
Y = Ybar + * (P - Pe) : AS equation
Short Run Phillips Curve:
= e - *(U - Un) +
where = actual inflation rate
e= Expected inflation rate
U - Un = Cyclical Unemployment
= measure of supply shock
measures the response inflation to cyclical unemployment
AS curve shows how Output is related to unexpected changes in the price level
Phillips curve shows unemployment is related to unexpected changes in inflation rate. The curve is the reflection of the aggregate supply curve. When there is movement along the supply curve, unemployment and inflation changes in opposite direction
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