In: Finance
You forecast a company's dividends for the next four years. In Year 1, you expect to receive $1.00 in dividends. In Year 2, you expect to receive $1.10 in dividends. In Year 3, you expect to receive $1.20 in dividends. In Year 4, you expect to receive $1.30. After Year 4, dividends are expected to grow at 2%. The rate of return for similar risk common stock is 7%. What is the current value of this company's stock?
Step 1: Computation of market price at the end of year 4 using Gordon Growth Model
P4 = D5 / (Ke – g)
Where,
P4 - Market price at the end of year 4 =?
D5 - Expected dividend in year 5 = 1.3*1.02 = 1.326
Ke – Cost of equity = 7%
G – Growth rate in dividend = 2%
P4 = 1.326/(.07-.02)
= 1.326/.05
= $26.52
Step 2: Computing current share price by discounting the cashflow at required return
Year | Dividend | PVF@7% | Present Value (Cashflow*PVF) |
1 | 1.00 | 0.935 | 0.93 |
2 | 1.10 | 0.873 | 0.96 |
3 | 1.20 | 0.816 | 0.98 |
4 | 27.82(1.3+26.52) | 0.763 | 21.22 |
current share price = Cashflow*PVF
= .93+.96+.98+21.22
= $24.09
You can use the equation 1/(1+i)^n to find PVF using calculator