Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Step 4: What percent of the variation in corn yield is explained by these two variables?...

Step 4:

What percent of the variation in corn yield is explained by these two variables? Give your answers to 2 decimal places and do not include units in your answers.

Percent explained by the model = %


Step 5:

Using the regression equation, find a point estimate for the corn yield for 2014 Assume that the soy bean yield for that year is 42.

Point Estimate = (Give your answer to 1 decimal place.)

ID      Year    CornYield       SoyBeanYield
1       1957    48.3    23.2
2       1958    52.8    24.2
3       1959    53.1    23.5
4       1960    54.7    23.5
5       1961    62.4    25.1
6       1962    64.7    24.2
7       1963    67.9    24.4
8       1964    62.9    22.8
9       1965    74.1    24.5
10      1966    73.1    25.4
11      1967    80.1    24.5
12      1968    79.5    26.7
13      1969    85.9    27.4
14      1970    72.4    26.7
15      1971    88.1    27.5
16      1972    97      27.8
17      1973    91.3    27.8
18      1974    71.9    23.7
19      1975    86.4    28.9
20      1976    88      26.1
21      1977    90.8    30.6
22      1978    101     29.4
23      1979    109.5   32.1
24      1980    91      26.5
25      1981    108.9   30.1
26      1982    113.2   31.5
27      1983    81.1    26.2
28      1984    106.7   28.1
29      1985    118     34.1
30      1986    119.4   33.3
31      1987    119.8   33.9
32      1988    84.6    27.0
33      1989    116.3   32.3
34      1990    118.5   34.1
35      1991    108.6   34.2
36      1992    131.5   37.6
37      1993    100.7   32.6
38      1994    138.6   41.4
39      1995    113.5   35.3
40      1996    127.1   37.6
41      1997    126.7   38.9
42      1998    134.4   38.9
43      1999    133.8   36.6
44      2000    136.9   38.1
45      2001    138.2   39.6
46      2002    129.3   38.0
47      2003    142.2   33.9
48      2004    160.3   42.2
49      2005    147.9   43.1
50      2006    149.1   42.9
51      2007    150.7   41.7
52      2008    153.9   39.7
53      2009    164.7   44.0
54      2010    152.8   43.5
55      2011    147.2   41.9
56      2012    123.4   39.8
57      2013    158.8   43.3

Solutions

Expert Solution

Step 4:

The coefficient of determination R square = 94.80%

There is 94.795 percentage of variation in corn yield which is explained by all independent variables in the model namely year, year square, soybean yield.

Step 5:

regression equation: corn yield = -20.927 + 1.401*year -0.013*year^2 + 3.1646*SoyBeanYield

when,
year = 58.0000
year^2 = 3364.0000
SoyBeanYield = 42
preicted corn yield = -20.9272+1.4014*58-0.0134*3364+3.1647*42 = 148.2

data:

ID Year CornYield year year^2 SoyBeanYield
1 1957 48.3 1 1 23.2
2 1958 52.8 2 4 24.2
3 1959 53.1 3 9 23.5
4 1960 54.7 4 16 23.5
5 1961 62.4 5 25 25.1
6 1962 64.7 6 36 24.2
7 1963 67.9 7 49 24.4
8 1964 62.9 8 64 22.8
9 1965 74.1 9 81 24.5
10 1966 73.1 10 100 25.4
11 1967 80.1 11 121 24.5
12 1968 79.5 12 144 26.7
13 1969 85.9 13 169 27.4
14 1970 72.4 14 196 26.7
15 1971 88.1 15 225 27.5
16 1972 97 16 256 27.8
17 1973 91.3 17 289 27.8
18 1974 71.9 18 324 23.7
19 1975 86.4 19 361 28.9
20 1976 88 20 400 26.1
21 1977 90.8 21 441 30.6
22 1978 101 22 484 29.4
23 1979 109.5 23 529 32.1
24 1980 91 24 576 26.5
25 1981 108.9 25 625 30.1
26 1982 113.2 26 676 31.5
27 1983 81.1 27 729 26.2
28 1984 106.7 28 784 28.1
29 1985 118 29 841 34.1
30 1986 119.4 30 900 33.3
31 1987 119.8 31 961 33.9
32 1988 84.6 32 1024 27
33 1989 116.3 33 1089 32.3
34 1990 118.5 34 1156 34.1
35 1991 108.6 35 1225 34.2
36 1992 131.5 36 1296 37.6
37 1993 100.7 37 1369 32.6
38 1994 138.6 38 1444 41.4
39 1995 113.5 39 1521 35.3
40 1996 127.1 40 1600 37.6
41 1997 126.7 41 1681 38.9
42 1998 134.4 42 1764 38.9
43 1999 133.8 43 1849 36.6
44 2000 136.9 44 1936 38.1
45 2001 138.2 45 2025 39.6
46 2002 129.3 46 2116 38
47 2003 142.2 47 2209 33.9
48 2004 160.3 48 2304 42.2
49 2005 147.9 49 2401 43.1
50 2006 149.1 50 2500 42.9
51 2007 150.7 51 2601 41.7
52 2008 153.9 52 2704 39.7
53 2009 164.7 53 2809 44
54 2010 152.8 54 2916 43.5
55 2011 147.2 55 3025 41.9
56 2012 123.4 56 3136 39.8
57 2013 158.8 57 3249 43.3

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