In: Statistics and Probability
Step 4:
What percent of the variation in corn yield is explained by these two variables? Give your answers to 2 decimal places and do not include units in your answers.
Percent explained by the model = %
Step 5:
Using the regression equation, find a point estimate for the corn yield for 2014 Assume that the soy bean yield for that year is 42.
Point Estimate = (Give your answer to 1 decimal place.)
ID Year CornYield SoyBeanYield 1 1957 48.3 23.2 2 1958 52.8 24.2 3 1959 53.1 23.5 4 1960 54.7 23.5 5 1961 62.4 25.1 6 1962 64.7 24.2 7 1963 67.9 24.4 8 1964 62.9 22.8 9 1965 74.1 24.5 10 1966 73.1 25.4 11 1967 80.1 24.5 12 1968 79.5 26.7 13 1969 85.9 27.4 14 1970 72.4 26.7 15 1971 88.1 27.5 16 1972 97 27.8 17 1973 91.3 27.8 18 1974 71.9 23.7 19 1975 86.4 28.9 20 1976 88 26.1 21 1977 90.8 30.6 22 1978 101 29.4 23 1979 109.5 32.1 24 1980 91 26.5 25 1981 108.9 30.1 26 1982 113.2 31.5 27 1983 81.1 26.2 28 1984 106.7 28.1 29 1985 118 34.1 30 1986 119.4 33.3 31 1987 119.8 33.9 32 1988 84.6 27.0 33 1989 116.3 32.3 34 1990 118.5 34.1 35 1991 108.6 34.2 36 1992 131.5 37.6 37 1993 100.7 32.6 38 1994 138.6 41.4 39 1995 113.5 35.3 40 1996 127.1 37.6 41 1997 126.7 38.9 42 1998 134.4 38.9 43 1999 133.8 36.6 44 2000 136.9 38.1 45 2001 138.2 39.6 46 2002 129.3 38.0 47 2003 142.2 33.9 48 2004 160.3 42.2 49 2005 147.9 43.1 50 2006 149.1 42.9 51 2007 150.7 41.7 52 2008 153.9 39.7 53 2009 164.7 44.0 54 2010 152.8 43.5 55 2011 147.2 41.9 56 2012 123.4 39.8 57 2013 158.8 43.3
Step 4:
The coefficient of determination R square = 94.80%
There is 94.795 percentage of variation in corn yield which is explained by all independent variables in the model namely year, year square, soybean yield.
Step 5:
regression equation: corn yield = -20.927 + 1.401*year -0.013*year^2 + 3.1646*SoyBeanYield
when,
year = 58.0000
year^2 = 3364.0000
SoyBeanYield = 42
preicted corn yield = -20.9272+1.4014*58-0.0134*3364+3.1647*42 =
148.2
data:
ID | Year | CornYield | year | year^2 | SoyBeanYield | |
1 | 1957 | 48.3 | 1 | 1 | 23.2 | |
2 | 1958 | 52.8 | 2 | 4 | 24.2 | |
3 | 1959 | 53.1 | 3 | 9 | 23.5 | |
4 | 1960 | 54.7 | 4 | 16 | 23.5 | |
5 | 1961 | 62.4 | 5 | 25 | 25.1 | |
6 | 1962 | 64.7 | 6 | 36 | 24.2 | |
7 | 1963 | 67.9 | 7 | 49 | 24.4 | |
8 | 1964 | 62.9 | 8 | 64 | 22.8 | |
9 | 1965 | 74.1 | 9 | 81 | 24.5 | |
10 | 1966 | 73.1 | 10 | 100 | 25.4 | |
11 | 1967 | 80.1 | 11 | 121 | 24.5 | |
12 | 1968 | 79.5 | 12 | 144 | 26.7 | |
13 | 1969 | 85.9 | 13 | 169 | 27.4 | |
14 | 1970 | 72.4 | 14 | 196 | 26.7 | |
15 | 1971 | 88.1 | 15 | 225 | 27.5 | |
16 | 1972 | 97 | 16 | 256 | 27.8 | |
17 | 1973 | 91.3 | 17 | 289 | 27.8 | |
18 | 1974 | 71.9 | 18 | 324 | 23.7 | |
19 | 1975 | 86.4 | 19 | 361 | 28.9 | |
20 | 1976 | 88 | 20 | 400 | 26.1 | |
21 | 1977 | 90.8 | 21 | 441 | 30.6 | |
22 | 1978 | 101 | 22 | 484 | 29.4 | |
23 | 1979 | 109.5 | 23 | 529 | 32.1 | |
24 | 1980 | 91 | 24 | 576 | 26.5 | |
25 | 1981 | 108.9 | 25 | 625 | 30.1 | |
26 | 1982 | 113.2 | 26 | 676 | 31.5 | |
27 | 1983 | 81.1 | 27 | 729 | 26.2 | |
28 | 1984 | 106.7 | 28 | 784 | 28.1 | |
29 | 1985 | 118 | 29 | 841 | 34.1 | |
30 | 1986 | 119.4 | 30 | 900 | 33.3 | |
31 | 1987 | 119.8 | 31 | 961 | 33.9 | |
32 | 1988 | 84.6 | 32 | 1024 | 27 | |
33 | 1989 | 116.3 | 33 | 1089 | 32.3 | |
34 | 1990 | 118.5 | 34 | 1156 | 34.1 | |
35 | 1991 | 108.6 | 35 | 1225 | 34.2 | |
36 | 1992 | 131.5 | 36 | 1296 | 37.6 | |
37 | 1993 | 100.7 | 37 | 1369 | 32.6 | |
38 | 1994 | 138.6 | 38 | 1444 | 41.4 | |
39 | 1995 | 113.5 | 39 | 1521 | 35.3 | |
40 | 1996 | 127.1 | 40 | 1600 | 37.6 | |
41 | 1997 | 126.7 | 41 | 1681 | 38.9 | |
42 | 1998 | 134.4 | 42 | 1764 | 38.9 | |
43 | 1999 | 133.8 | 43 | 1849 | 36.6 | |
44 | 2000 | 136.9 | 44 | 1936 | 38.1 | |
45 | 2001 | 138.2 | 45 | 2025 | 39.6 | |
46 | 2002 | 129.3 | 46 | 2116 | 38 | |
47 | 2003 | 142.2 | 47 | 2209 | 33.9 | |
48 | 2004 | 160.3 | 48 | 2304 | 42.2 | |
49 | 2005 | 147.9 | 49 | 2401 | 43.1 | |
50 | 2006 | 149.1 | 50 | 2500 | 42.9 | |
51 | 2007 | 150.7 | 51 | 2601 | 41.7 | |
52 | 2008 | 153.9 | 52 | 2704 | 39.7 | |
53 | 2009 | 164.7 | 53 | 2809 | 44 | |
54 | 2010 | 152.8 | 54 | 2916 | 43.5 | |
55 | 2011 | 147.2 | 55 | 3025 | 41.9 | |
56 | 2012 | 123.4 | 56 | 3136 | 39.8 | |
57 | 2013 | 158.8 | 57 | 3249 | 43.3 |