Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Individuals filing federal income tax returns prior to March 31 received an average refund of $1,051....

Individuals filing federal income tax returns prior to March 31 received an average refund of $1,051. Consider the population of "last-minute" filers who mail their tax return during the last five days of the income tax period (typically April 10 to April 15).

(a)

A researcher suggests that a reason individuals wait until the last five days is that on average these individuals receive lower refunds than do early filers. Develop appropriate hypotheses such that rejection of

H0

will support the researcher's contention.

H0: μ ≤ $1,051
Ha: μ > $1,051H0: μ < $1,051
Ha: μ ≥ $1,051    H0: μ ≥ $1,051
Ha: μ < $1,051H0: μ > $1,051
Ha: μ ≤ $1,051H0: μ = $1,051
Ha: μ ≠ $1,051

(b)

For a sample of 400 individuals who filed a tax return between April 10 and 15, the sample mean refund was $910. Based on prior experience, a population standard deviation of

σ = $1,600

may be assumed.

What is the test statistic? (Round your answer to two decimal places.)

What is the p-value? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)

p-value =

At

α = 0.05,

what is your conclusion?

Reject H0. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean refund of "last minute" filers is less than $1,051.Do not reject H0. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean refund of "last minute" filers is less than $1,051.    Do not reject H0. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the mean refund of "last minute" filers is less or equal than $1,051.Reject H0. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the mean refund of "last minute" filers is less than or equal $1,051.

(d)

Repeat the preceding hypothesis test using the critical value approach.

State the null and alternative hypotheses.

H0: μ ≤ $1,051
Ha: μ > $1,051H0: μ < $1,051
Ha: μ ≥ $1,051    H0: μ ≥ $1,051
Ha: μ < $1,051H0: μ > $1,051
Ha: μ ≤ $1,051H0: μ = $1,051
Ha: μ ≠ $1,051

Find the value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)

State the critical values for the rejection rule. (Use α = 0.05. Round your answer to two decimal places. If the test is one-tailed, enter NONE for the unused tail.)

test statistic≤test statistic≥

State your conclusion.

Reject H0. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean refund of "last minute" filers is less than $1,051.

Do not reject H0. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean refund of "last minute" filers is less than $1,051.  

Do not reject H0. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the mean refund of "last minute" filers is less or equal than $1,051.

Reject H0. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the mean refund of "last minute" filers is less than or equal $1,051.

Solutions

Expert Solution

(a)

Correct option:

H0: μ ≥ $1,051
Ha: μ < $1,051

(b)

(i)

SE = /

= 1600/

= 80

Test statistic is given by:
Z = (910 - 1051)/80

= - 1.76

(ii)

Table of Area Under Standard Normal Curve gives area = 0.4608

So,

p - value = 0.5 - 0.4608 = 0.0392

(iii)

Correct option:

Reject H0. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean refund of "last minute" filers is less than $1,051.

(d)

Correct option:

H0: μ ≥ $1,051
Ha: μ < $1,051

SE = /

= 1600/

= 80

Test statistic is given by:
Z = (910 - 1051)/80

= - 1.76

= 0.05

From Table, critical value of Z = - 1.645

Test statistic is < Critical value

So,

Correct option:

Reject H0. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean refund of "last minute" filers is less than $1,051.


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