Market efficiency refers to the
extent all the information available (public as well as private) on
the security is factored in its price. Efficient markets are the
markets wherein all the stock related information is factored in
the stock prices. The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) classifies
markets in three forms
- Strong Form:
the security price reflects all the public and private information
relevant to the security. Since, the current price reflects all
information, public as well as private, hence no investors will be
able to consistently find undervalued stocks. This means even an
insider will not be able to generate abnormal returns.
- Semi-strong
Form: All the publicly available information (and
not the private information) is incorporated in security prices.
Since the current price reflects the information contained not only
in past prices but all public information (including financial
statements and news reports), an insider (with private information)
can continuously find undervalued stocks and generate abnormal
returns.
- Weak Form: The
security price reflects only recent price movements. The current
price reflects the information contained in all past prices,
suggesting that charts and technical analyses that use past prices
alone would not be useful in finding undervalued stocks.
Factors that promote market efficiency: are essentially those
factors that enable full, quick and timely dissemination of the
relevant information to the financial community.
- Transparency in disclosure of information pertaining to the
business and operation
- Timely disclosure of the material information to the
public
- Full disclosure of information
- Strong and well functioning market regulator
- Depth and breath in capital markets
- Responsiveness of the stock markets
The implications of market efficiency for (i) Directors and
Managers of firms
- All the information will then be public information
- Directors and managers will not have any information that is
not known in the public domain
- There will be no insider information
- And hence there will be no insider trading
- Hence, the probability of making abnormal gains will be nearly
zero
- and (ii) Market regulators.
- The volatility in the market will shrink
- Role of regulators will be simplified
- There will be transparency
- No surprises or sudden change in the behavior of market unless
some new information flows in