In: Statistics and Probability
A purveyor of designer maternity wear sells dresses and pants priced around $250 each for an average total sale of $1,200. The total sale has a normal distribution with a standard deviation of $450. Complete parts a through c below. a. Calculate the probability that a randomly selected customer will have a total sale of more than $1,700. The probability is 0.1314. (Round to four decimal places as needed.) b. Compute the probability that the total sale will be within plus or minus2 standard deviations of the mean total sales.
Let , X be the total sale.
X follows normal distribution with = $1200 and standard deviation = $450
a )
We have to find P( x > 1700 )
P( x > 1700 ) = 1 - P( x <= 1700 )
Using Excel, =NORMDIST( x, , , 1 )
P( x <= 1700 ) = NORMDIST( 1700 , 1200, 450 , 1 ) = 0.86674
So, P( x > 1700 ) = 1 - 0.86674 = 0.1333
Answer :
Probability that a randomly selected customer will have a total sale of more than $1,700 is 0.1333
b)
We have to find P( 1200 - 2*450 < x <1200 + 2*450 )
That is P( 300 < x < 2100 )
P( 300 < x < 2100 ) = P( x < 2100) - P( x < 300 )
Using Excel, =NORMDIST( x, , , 1 )
P( x < 2100) = NORMDIST( 2100 , 1200, 450 , 1 ) = 0.97725
P( x < 300 ) = NORMDIST( 300 , 1200, 450 , 1 ) = 0.02275
So, P( 300 < x < 2100 ) = 0.97725 - 0.02275 = 0.9545
Answer :
Probability that the total sale will be within plus or minus2 standard deviations of the mean total sales is 0.9545