In: Finance
1) You are considering investing money in Treasury bills and wondering what the real risk-free rate of interest is. Currently, Treasury bills are yielding 4.5 % and the future inflation rate is expected to be 2.3 % per year. Ignoring the cross product between the real rate of interest and the inflation rate, what is the real risk-free rate of interest? 2)The CFO of your firm has asked you for an approximate answer to this question: What was the increase in real purchasing power associated with both 3-month Treasury bills and 30-year Treasury bonds? Assume that the current 3-month Treasury bill rate is 5.45 percent, the 30-year Treasury bond rate is 7.36 percent, and the inflation rate is 2.94 percent. Also, the chief financial officer wants a short explanation should the 3-month real rate turn out to be less than the 30-year real rate. 3)At present, the real risk-free rate of interest is 1.4%, while inflation is expected to be 1.1% for the next two years. If a 2-year Treasury note yields 4.9%, what is the maturity-risk premium for this 2-year Treasury note? 4) You've just taken a job at an investment banking firm and been given the job of calculating the appropriate nominal interest rate for a number of different Treasury bonds with different maturity dates. The real risk-free interest rate that you have been told to use is 3.8 %, and this rate is expected to continue on into the future without any change. Inflation is expected to be constant over the future at a rate of 1.8 %. Since these are bonds that are issued by the U.S. Treasury, they do not have any default risk or any liquidity risk (that is, there is no liquidity-risk premium). The maturity-risk premium is dependent upon how many years the bond has to maturity.
BOND MATURES IN: |
MATURITY-RISK PREMIUM: |
|
0-1 year |
0.050.05% |
|
1-2 years |
0.250.25% |
|
2-3 years |
0.600.60% |
|
3-4 years |
0.850.85% |
Given this information, what should the nominal rate of interest on Treasury bonds maturing in 0-1 year, 1-2 years, 2-3 years, and 3-4 years be?
Since, multiple questions have been answered and each question is indpendent of each other, I have answered the first three questions.
_____
Question 1:
The value of the real risk-free rate of interest is determined as follows:
Real Risk-Free Rate of Interest = Treasury Bills Yield - Inflation Rate
____
Here, Treasury Bills Yield = 4.5% and Inflation Rate = 2.3%
Using these values in the above formula, we get,
Real Risk-Free Rate of Interest = 4.5% - 2.3% = 2.2% or 2.20% (answer)
_____
Question 2:
The increase in real purchasing power associated with both 3-month Treasury bills and 30-year Treasury bonds is arrived as below:
Increase in Real Purchasing Power (3-Month Treasury Bill) = Current 3-Month Treasury Bill Rate - Inflation Rate = 5.45% - 2.94% = 2.51%
Increase in Real Purchasing Power (30-Year Treasury Bond) = 30-Year Treasury Bond Rate - Inflation Rate = 7.36% - 2.94% = 4.42%
____
Short Explanation:
The 3-month real rate turn out to be less than the 30-year real rate because investors require a premium to be paid in order to cover the risk associated with the longer investment period.
_____
Question 3:
The maturity-risk premium for the 2-year Treasury note is calculated as follows:
Maturity-Risk Premium for 2-Year Treasury Note = 2-Year Treasury Note Yield - (Real Risk-Free Rate of Interest + Inflation Rate for Next 2 Years)
____
Here, 2-Year Treasury Note Yield = 4.9%, Real Risk-Free Rate of Interest = 1.4% and Inflation Rate for Next 2 Years = 1.1%
Using these values in the above formula, we get,
Maturity-Risk Premium for 2-Year Treasury Note = 4.9% - (1.4% + 1.1%) = 2.4% or 2.40% (answer)