Question

In: Statistics and Probability

The chances of a tax return being audited are about 14 in 1,000 if an income...

The chances of a tax return being audited are about 14 in 1,000 if an income is less than​ $100,000 and 36 in 1,000 if an income is​ $100,000 or more. Complete parts a through e

B. If three tax payers with incomes under​ $100,000 are randomly​ selected, what is the probability that exactly one will be​ audited? That more than one will be​ audited?

p(x=1)=

​(Round to four decimal places as​ needed.)

What is the probability that more than one will be​ audited?

P(x>1)=

​(Round to four decimal places as​ needed.)

c. Repeat part b assuming that three taxpayers with incomes of​ $100,000 or more are randomly selected.

P(x=1)=

​(Round to four decimal places as​ needed.)

What is the probability that more than one will be​ audited?

P(x>1)=

​(Round to four decimal places as​ needed.)

d. If two taxpayers with incomes under​ $100,000 are randomly selected and two with incomes more than​ $100,000 are randomly​ selected, what is the probability that none of these taxpayers will be​ audited?

​P(none of the taxpayers will be audited)=

Solutions

Expert Solution

SOLUTION:

From given data,

The chances of a tax return being audited are about 14 in 1,000 if an income is less than​ $100,000 and 36 in 1,000 if an income is​ $100,000 or more.

P( income is less than​ $100,000) = 14/1000 = 0.014

P( income is​ $100,000 or more) = 36/1000 = 0.036

B. If three tax payers with incomes under​ $100,000 are randomly​ selected, what is the probability that exactly one will be​ audited? That more than one will be​ audited?

Let X = number of people with income less than $100000 who audited then

X binomial (n = 3 , p = 0.014)

p(x=1)= 3C1 * (0.014)1  * (1-0.014)(3-1)

= 3 * 0.014 * 0.972196

= 0.04083

What is the probability that more than one will be​ audited?

= 1-[ 3C0 * (0.014)0  * (1-0.014)(3-0) +  0.04083 ]

= 1- [1*1*0.95858 + 0.04083]

= 1- 0.99941

= 0.00059

c. Repeat part b assuming that three taxpayers with incomes of​ $100,000 or more are randomly selected.

Let X = number of people with income less than $100000 who audited then

X binomial (n = 3 , p =  0.036)

p(x=1)= 3C1 * ( 0.036)1  * (1- 0.036)(3-1)

= 3 * 0.036 * 0.929296

= 0.1003639

What is the probability that more than one will be​ audited?

= 1-[ 3C0 * (0.036)0  * (1-0.036)(3-0) +  0.1003639]

= 1- [1*1*0.8958413 + 0.1003639]]

= 1- 0.9962052

= 0.0037948

d. If two taxpayers with incomes under​ $100,000 are randomly selected and two with incomes more than​ $100,000 are randomly​ selected, what is the probability that none of these taxpayers will be​ audited?

X binomial (n = 2 , p = 0.014)

p(x=0)= 2C0 * (0.014)0 * (1-0.014)(2-0)

= 1*1*0.972196

= 0.972196

X binomial (n = 2 , p = 0.036)

p(x=0)= 2C0 * (0.036)0 * (1-0.036)(2-0)

= 1*1*0.929296

= 0.929296

P(none of the taxpayer will be audited) = 0.972196 *0.929296

P(none of the taxpayer will be audited) = 0.90345


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