In: Statistics and Probability
The chances of a tax return being audited are about 14 in 1,000 if an income is less than $100,000 and 36 in 1,000 if an income is $100,000 or more. Complete parts a through e
B. If three tax payers with incomes under $100,000 are randomly selected, what is the probability that exactly one will be audited? That more than one will be audited?
p(x=1)=
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
What is the probability that more than one will be audited?
P(x>1)=
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
c. Repeat part b assuming that three taxpayers with incomes of $100,000 or more are randomly selected.
P(x=1)=
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
What is the probability that more than one will be audited?
P(x>1)=
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
d. If two taxpayers with incomes under $100,000 are randomly selected and two with incomes more than $100,000 are randomly selected, what is the probability that none of these taxpayers will be audited?
P(none of the taxpayers will be audited)=
SOLUTION:
From given data,
The chances of a tax return being audited are about 14 in 1,000 if an income is less than $100,000 and 36 in 1,000 if an income is $100,000 or more.
P( income is less than $100,000) = 14/1000 = 0.014
P( income is $100,000 or more) = 36/1000 = 0.036
B. If three tax payers with incomes under $100,000 are randomly selected, what is the probability that exactly one will be audited? That more than one will be audited?
Let X = number of people with income less than $100000 who audited then
X binomial (n = 3 , p = 0.014)
p(x=1)= 3C1 * (0.014)1 * (1-0.014)(3-1)
= 3 * 0.014 * 0.972196
= 0.04083
What is the probability that more than one will be audited?
= 1-[ 3C0 * (0.014)0 * (1-0.014)(3-0) + 0.04083 ]
= 1- [1*1*0.95858 + 0.04083]
= 1- 0.99941
= 0.00059
c. Repeat part b assuming that three taxpayers with incomes of $100,000 or more are randomly selected.
Let X = number of people with income less than $100000 who audited then
X binomial (n = 3 , p = 0.036)
p(x=1)= 3C1 * ( 0.036)1 * (1- 0.036)(3-1)
= 3 * 0.036 * 0.929296
= 0.1003639
What is the probability that more than one will be audited?
= 1-[ 3C0 * (0.036)0 * (1-0.036)(3-0) + 0.1003639]
= 1- [1*1*0.8958413 + 0.1003639]]
= 1- 0.9962052
= 0.0037948
d. If two taxpayers with incomes under $100,000 are randomly selected and two with incomes more than $100,000 are randomly selected, what is the probability that none of these taxpayers will be audited?
X binomial (n = 2 , p = 0.014)
p(x=0)= 2C0 * (0.014)0 * (1-0.014)(2-0)
= 1*1*0.972196
= 0.972196
X binomial (n = 2 , p = 0.036)
p(x=0)= 2C0 * (0.036)0 * (1-0.036)(2-0)
= 1*1*0.929296
= 0.929296
P(none of the taxpayer will be audited) = 0.972196 *0.929296
P(none of the taxpayer will be audited) = 0.90345