In: Finance
The following probability distributions of returns for two
stocks have been estimated:
Probability Stock A Stock B
0.3 12% 8%
0.4 8 4
0.3 6 3
What is the coefficient of variation for the stock that is less
risky (assuming you use the coefficient of variation to rank
riskiness).
0.66 |
||
3.62 |
||
5.16 |
||
0.28 |
||
0.19 |
Stock A | |||||
Scenario | Probability | Return% | =rate of return% * probability | Actual return -expected return(A)% | (A)^2* probability |
Scen. 1 | 0.3 | 12 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 0.0003468 |
Scen. 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 3.2 | -0.6 | 0.0000144 |
Scen. 3 | 0.3 | 6 | 1.8 | -2.6 | 0.0002028 |
Expected return %= | sum of weighted return = | 8.6 | Sum=Variance Stock A= | 0.00056 | |
Standard deviation of Stock A% | =(Variance)^(1/2) | 2.37 | |||
Coefficient of variation= | Std. dev./return= | 0.2756 | |||
Stock B | |||||
Scenario | Probability | Return% | =rate of return% * probability | Actual return -expected return(A)% | (B)^2* probability |
Scen. 1 | 0.3 | 8 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 0.0002883 |
Scen. 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 1.6 | -0.9 | 0.0000324 |
Scen. 3 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.9 | -1.9 | 0.0001083 |
Expected return %= | sum of weighted return = | 4.9 | Sum=Variance Stock B= | 0.00043 | |
Standard deviation of Stock B% | =(Variance)^(1/2) | 2.07 | |||
Coefficient of variation= | Std. dev./return= | 0.4224 |
0.28 is the answer