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Venezuela Goes Bust
Another lesson in the price of lending to a socialist
regime.
By The WSJ Editorial Board
Updated Nov. 15, 2017 7:27 p.m. ET
Milton Friedman once joked that if you put the government in
charge of the Sahara Desert in five years there would be a shortage
of sand. He could have been talking about Venezuela and its oil
wealth. But it is no joke.
On Monday Caracas missed interest payments due on two
government bonds and one bond issued by the state-owned oil
monopoly known by its Spanish initials PdVSA. Venezuela owed
creditors $280 million, which it couldn’t manage even after a
30-day grace period.
Venezuela is broke, which takes some doing. For much of the
second half of the 20th century, a gusher of oil exports made
dollars abundant in Venezuela and the country imported the finest
of everything. There were rough patches in the 1980s and 1990s, but
by 2001 Venezuela was the richest country in South America.
Then in 2005 the socialist Hugo Chávez declared that the
central bank had “excessive reserves.” He mandated that the
executive take the excess from the bank without compensation. Today
the central bank has at best $1 billion in reserves.
Falling oil prices are partly to blame, but the main problem
is that chavismo has strangled entrepreneurship. Faced with
expropriation, hyperinflation, price controls and rampant
corruption, human and monetary capital has fled Venezuela.
As of Tuesday evening, the International Swaps and Derivatives
Association still had not declared Venezuela in default. That
matters because this will trigger the insurance obligations
inherent in the credit default swaps. But S&P Global Ratings
declared the country in default Monday. On Tuesday morning the
Luxembourg Stock Exchange issued a suspension notice for the bonds
with missed payments.
President Nicolás Maduro has formed a commission to
restructure up to $150 billion of the debt and put Vice President
Tareck El Aissami —who is under U.S. sanctions for drug
trafficking—in charge. Mr. El Aissami called a meeting of creditors
on Monday in Caracas, which most bondholders did not attend. Press
reports said Mr. El Aissami delivered a monologue on Venezuela’s
intention to pay and took no questions. He argued that Trump
Administration sanctions make it difficult for the dictatorship to
arrange refinancing.
The real problem is that restructuring assumes the country can
grow again. That’s nearly impossible without a change in policy
that will free the economy.
If Caracas doesn’t find a way to settle with bondholders, they
will soon ask authorities to seize Venezuelan assets such as oil
shipments at sea and Citgo facilities in the U.S. Such are the
wages of socialism.
Correction: An earlier version misidentified the name of the
International Swaps and Derivatives Association.
Appeared in the November 15, 2017, print edition.