In: Statistics and Probability
The Federal Election Commission maintains data showing the voting age population, the number of registered voters, and the turnout for special electons. The following table shows the voter turnout as a percentage of the voting age population in presidential elections from 1964-2000:
Year % Vote Year % Vote Year % Vote
1964 61.92 1980 52.56 1996 49.08
1968 60.84 1984 53.11 2000 51.30
1972 55.21 1988 50.11
1976 53.55 1992 55.09
6: What is the R2 value?
From the given data
Year (x) | X = X-1980 | Vote (Y) | X^2 | Y^2 | XY |
1964 | -16 | 61.92 | 256 | 3834.0864 | -990.72 |
1968 | -12 | 60.84 | 144 | 3701.5056 | -730.08 |
1972 | -8 | 55.21 | 64 | 3048.1441 | -441.68 |
1976 | -4 | 53.55 | 16 | 2867.6025 | -214.2 |
1980 | 0 | 52.56 | 0 | 2762.5536 | 0 |
1984 | 4 | 53.11 | 16 | 2820.6721 | 212.44 |
1988 | 8 | 50.11 | 64 | 2511.0121 | 400.88 |
1992 | 12 | 55.09 | 144 | 3034.9081 | 661.08 |
1996 | 16 | 49.08 | 256 | 2408.8464 | 785.28 |
2000 | 20 | 51.3 | 400 | 2631.69 | 1026 |
Total: | 20 | 542.77 | 1360 | 29621.0209 | 709 |
Ybar = 542.77/10 = 54.277
The regression equation is Y = 54.8475 - 0.28526
X | Y | Y-hat | (Y-Yhat)^2 | (Y-Ybar)^2 | (Ybar-Ycap)^2 |
-16 | 61.92 | 59.41163636 | 6.291888132 | 58.415449 | 26.36449059 |
-12 | 60.84 | 58.27060606 | 6.601785216 | 43.072969 | 15.94888937 |
-8 | 55.21 | 57.12957576 | 3.684771089 | 0.870489 | 8.137188453 |
-4 | 53.55 | 55.98854545 | 5.946503934 | 0.528529 | 2.929387843 |
0 | 52.56 | 54.84751515 | 5.232725568 | 2.948089 | 0.325487538 |
4 | 53.11 | 53.70648485 | 0.355794174 | 1.361889 | 0.325487538 |
8 | 50.11 | 52.56545455 | 6.029257025 | 17.363889 | 2.929387843 |
12 | 55.09 | 51.42442424 | 13.43644563 | 0.660969 | 8.137188453 |
16 | 49.08 | 50.28339394 | 1.448156973 | 27.008809 | 15.94888937 |
20 | 51.3 | 49.14236364 | 4.655394678 | 8.862529 | 26.36449059 |
Total: | 53.68272242 | 161.09361 | 107.4108876 |
R-square = 107.4108876 / 161.09361 = 0.6667