In: Finance
All financials below are in $ mn
Value of a levered firm, VL = Value of unlevered firm, VU + PV (Interest tax shield) - Probability of bankruptcy x PV (Bankruptcy costs)
VU = Net operating income x (1 - Tax rate) / Unlevered cost of capital = 10 x (1 - 40%) / 12.5% = 48
PV (Interest tax shield ) = Tax rate x Debt
Under proposal 1: PV (Interest tax shield ) = Tax rate x Debt = 40% x 20 = 8
Under proposal 2: PV (Interest tax shield ) = Tax rate x Debt = 40% x 30 = 12
PV (Bankruptcy costs) = Bankruptcy cost / Pre tax cost of debt
Under proposal 1: PV (Bankruptcy costs) = Bankruptcy cost / Pre tax cost of debt = 12 / 6% = 200 and Probability of bankruptcy = 15%
Under proposal 2: PV (Bankruptcy costs) = Bankruptcy cost / Pre tax cost of debt = 20 / 8% = 250 and Probability of bankruptcy = 25%
Hence:
Proposal 1:
The overall value of the firm, VL = VU + PV (Interest tax shield) - Probability of bankruptcy x PV (Bankruptcy costs) = 48 + 8 - 15% x 200 = 26
Proposal 2:
The overall value of the firm, VL = VU + PV (Interest tax shield) - Probability of bankruptcy x PV (Bankruptcy costs) = 48 + 12 - 25% x 250 = - 2.50