In: Finance
Halliford Corporation expects to have earnings this coming year of $ 3.00 per share. Halliford plans to retain all of its earnings for the next two years. For the subsequent two years, the firm will retain 50 % of its earnings. It will then retain 20 % of its earnings from that point onward. Each year, retained earnings will be invested in new projects with an expected return of 25.00 % per year. Any earnings that are not retained will be paid out as dividends. Assume Halliford's share count remains constant and all earnings growth comes from the investment of retained earnings. If Halliford's equity cost of capital is 10.0 %, what price would you estimate for Halliford stock? Note: Remenber that growth rate is computed as: retention rate times rate of return. The price per share is __________
Growth rate formula = Return on invstment * Retention ratio
Return on assets = 25%
Retention ratio of next 2 years = 100%
So, Growth rate of first 3 years = 25%*100% = 25.00%
For next 2 years after that retention ratio = 50%
Growth rate = 25%*50% 12.50%
After that retention ratio = 20%
Growth rate = 25%*20% = 5%
Required rate of return = 10% or 0.1
Calculation of earnings and Dividends
Growth rate. EPS Payoutratio= 1-retention ratio Dividend
1 25% 3 (given). 0. 0
2 25% 3 *(1+25%) = 3.75 0 0
3 12.50%. 3.75*(1+12.5%) = 4.21875 50% 2.109375
4 12.50% 4.21875*(1+12.50%)= 4.7460 50% 2.373046
5 5%. 4.7460*(1+5%)= 4.98339. 80%. 3.98671
Growth after 5th year is constant as retention ratio is constant. So Growth model formula shall be applicable
P4 = D5/(ke-g)
3.98671875 /(0.10-0.05)
79.73437
Value of stock shall be Dividend received upto 4 th year and present value of stock at end of 4 th year
Year Cash flows P.V.F. = 1/(1+0.10)^year Present value
1. D1. 0. 0.9090909091. 0
2 D2. 0 0.826446281 0
3 D3. 2.109375 0.7513148009 1.5848
4 D4 2.3730. 0.6830134554 1.6208
4 P4 79.7344 0.6209213231 49.5088
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Total 52.7144
So, price of share is $52.71