In: Finance
Equity analysts predict Angel will pay its first annual dividend of $0.02 in 2021. The dividend in 2022 is expected to be 25% larger than the 2021 dividend as the company’s cash flows grow substantially. Beyond 2022 the dividend is expected to increase by 4% p.a. forever. If the required return is 12%, then what is the fair value of an Angel share today, in 2019?
Required rate= | 12.00% | ||||||
Year | Previous year dividend | Dividend growth rate | Dividend current year | Horizon value | Total Value | Discount factor | Discounted value |
1 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 1.12 | 0 | |
2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.2544 | 0.01594 | |
3 | 0.02 | 25.00% | 0.025 | 0.325 | 0.35 | 1.404928 | 0.24912 |
Long term growth rate (given)= | 4.00% | Value of Stock = | Sum of discounted value = | 0.27 |
Where | |||
Current dividend =Previous year dividend*(1+growth rate)^corresponding year | |||
Unless dividend for the year provided | |||
Total value = Dividend + horizon value (only for last year) | |||
Horizon value = Dividend Current year 3 *(1+long term growth rate)/( Required rate-long term growth rate) | |||
Discount factor=(1+ Required rate)^corresponding period | |||
Discounted value=total value/discount factor |
Price = PV of dividends + PV of horizon value
=(Dividend year 2/(1+required rate)^2+Dividend year 2*(1+high growth rate)/(1+required date)^3)+ (Dividend year 2*(1+high growth rate) *(1+ long term growth rate)/(required rate-long term growth rate))/(1+required date)^3)
=(0.02/(1+0.12)^2+0.02*(1+0.25)/(1+0.12)^3)+(0.02*(1+0.25)*(1+0.04)/(0.12-0.04))/(1+0.12)^3)
=0.265