A recent poll stated that if the presidential election were held today, the results would be...

A recent poll stated that if the presidential election were held today, the results would be as follows:

Candidate A: 33%

Candidate B: 33%

Undecided: 34%

Margin of error is 20%

Based on our class discussions to date, what conclusion would you draw from this data?

Expert Solution

From given data, it is observed that the winning probability for the both candidates A and B is same. There is no significant difference in the favorable proportions for both candidates. In this case, the people in the category of undecided will play an important role for deciding the winning candidate. The candidate who will able to attract more peoples from the undecided category will have a chance to win the election. The margin of error for this survey is given as 20% and this margin of error is very high. So, results of the survey may vary about 20% from the real estimate and that’s why we cannot believe the results of this survey at the current situation. We cannot draw any conclusion regarding both candidates based on the given results. It is important to minimize the margin of error for getting unbiased results. In simple words, the given survey does not imply the favor of any one of the candidate.

milcah answered 1 year ago

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