In: Finance
Interest Rate Risk.
Bond J has a coupon rate of 4 percent. Bond S has a coupon rate of 14 percent. Both bonds have 13 years to maturity, make semiannual payments, a par value of $1,000, and have a YTM of 8 percent. If interest rates suddenly rise by 2 percent, what is the percentage price change of these bonds? What if rates suddenly fall by 2 percent instead? What does this problem tell you about the interest rate risk of lower-coupon bonds?
BOND J | |||||||
Par/Face value | 1000 | ||||||
Annual Coupon rate | 0.04 | ||||||
Annual coupon | 40 | ||||||
semi-annual coupon | 20 | ||||||
Present Value = Future value/[(1+(r/m))^mt] | |||||||
r is the yield to maturity that is 8%. | |||||||
m is the compounding period that is 2 | |||||||
mt is the time period. | |||||||
price of the bond = sum of present values of future cash flows | |||||||
r/2 | 0.04 | ||||||
mt | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
future cash flow | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
present value | 19.23077 | 18.49112 | 17.77993 | 17.09608 | 16.43854 | 15.80629 | 12.01148 |
mt | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 26 |
future cash flow | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 1020 |
present value | 11.5495 | 11.10529 | 10.67816 | 10.26746 | 9.872562 | 9.492848 | 367.903 |
sum of present values | 680.3446 | ||||||
b) The price of BOND J is $680.34. | |||||||
Do the same analysis for Bond J when YTM increases by 2% and decreases by 2%. | |||||||
Then calculate the % change in price. | |||||||
r/2 | 0.05 | ||||||
mt | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
future cash flow | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
present value | 19.04762 | 18.14059 | 17.27675 | 16.45405 | 15.67052 | 14.92431 | 10.60643 |
mt | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 26 |
future cash flow | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 1020 |
present value | 10.10136 | 9.620342 | 9.16223 | 8.725934 | 8.310413 | 7.914679 | 286.8655 |
sum of present values | 568.7444 | ||||||
When the yield to maturity rises by 2%, the price of BOND J is $568.74. | |||||||
% change in price when interest rates rise by 2% is (568.74-680.34)/680.34 | |||||||
% change in price when interest rates rise by 2% is -16.40%. | |||||||
r/2 | 0.03 | ||||||
mt | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
future cash flow | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
present value | 19.41748 | 18.85192 | 18.30283 | 17.76974 | 17.25218 | 16.74969 | 13.61903 |
mt | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 26 |
future cash flow | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 1020 |
present value | 13.22236 | 12.83724 | 12.46334 | 12.10033 | 11.74789 | 11.40572 | 472.9686 |
sum of present values | 821.2316 | ||||||
When the yield to maturity falls by 2%, the price of BOND J is $821.23. | |||||||
% change in price when interest rates fall by 2% is (821.23-680.34)/680.34 | |||||||
% change in price when interest rates fall by 2% is 20.71%. | |||||||
SAME ANALYSIS FOR BOND S AS WAS FOR BOND J | |||||||
Par/Face value | 1000 | ||||||
Annual Coupon rate | 0.14 | ||||||
Annual coupon | 140 | ||||||
semi-annual coupon | 70 | ||||||
b) The price of BOND S is $1479.48. | |||||||
Do the same analysis for Bond S when YTM increases by 2% and decreases by 2%. | |||||||
Then calculate the % change in price. | |||||||
When the yield to maturity rises by 2%, the price of BOND S is $1287.50 | |||||||
% change in price when interest rates rise by 2% is (1287.50-1479.48)/1479.48 | |||||||
% change in price when interest rates rise by 2% is -12.98%. | |||||||
When the yield to maturity falls by 2%, the price of BOND S is $1715.074. | |||||||
% change in price when interest rates fall by 2% is (1715.07-1479.48)/1479.48 | |||||||
% change in price when interest rates fall by 2% is 15.92%. | |||||||
This problem tells us that lower coupon bonds have higher interest rate risk. |