In: Statistics and Probability
One morning a customer comes into Pierre’s and orders a random assortment of 6 Danish. At the time she comes in, there are 30 Danish sitting out: 13 apple, 10 cheese, and 7 raspberry. Assume the Danish are not replaced after they are selected. What is the probability that the second, fourth, and fifth Danish selected for the customer’s random assortment will be apple, and the other three will not be apple?
Probability:
What kind of problem is this, where we take things out and don't put them back?:
SOLUTION :
First Danish selected:non- apples
apples; 13 Nos.
Non-apples: 17 Nos.
Total Danish: 30Nos.
So,
P(First Danish selected:non- apples) = 17/30 =0.567
Second Danish selected: apples
apples ; 13 Nos.
Non-apples = 16 Nos.
Total Danish: 29Nos.
So,
P(Second Danish selected: apples) = 13/29 = 0.448
Third Danish selected: Non-apples
apples ; 12 Nos.
Non-apples = 16 Nos.
Total Danish: 28/ Nos.
So,
P(Third Danish selected: Non-apples) = 16/28 = 0.571
Fourth Danish selected: apples
apples ;=12Nos.
Non-apples = 15 Nos.
Total Danish: 27Nos.
So,
P(Fourth Danish selected: apples) = 12/27 = 0.444
Fifth Danish selected: apples
apples; 11Nos.
Non-apples = 15 Nos.
Total Danish: 26 Nos.
So,
P(Fifth Danish selected: apples) = 11/26 = 0.423
Sixth Danish selected: Non-apples
apples ; 10 Nos.
Non-apples= 15 Nos.
Total Danish: 25 Nos.
So,
P(Sixth Danish selected: Non-apples) = 15/25 = 0.6
So,
P(Second , fourth & fifth apples and Others Non apples) = 0.567*0.448*0.571*0.4444*0.423*0.6 = 0.016
So,
Answer is:
0.016.