In: Math
An analyst must decide between two different forecasting
techniques for weekly sales of roller blades: a linear trend
equation and the naive approach. The linear trend equation is
Ft = 124 + 2.1t, and it was developed
using data from periods 1 through 10. Based on data for periods 11
through 20 as shown in the table, which of these two methods has
the greater accuracy if MAD and MSE are used? (Round your
intermediate calculations and final answers to 2 decimal
places.)
t | Units Sold |
11 | 144 |
12 | 146 |
13 | 152 |
14 | 142 |
15 | 152 |
16 | 149 |
17 | 152 |
18 | 154 |
19 | 157 |
20 | 164 |
MAD (Naive) | |
MAD (Linear) | |
MSE (Naive) | |
MSE (Linear) | |
(Click to select) Linear trend Naive method provides forecasts with less average error and less average squared error.