In: Statistics and Probability
Suppose that in fact, the blood cholesterol level of all men aged 20-34 follows the Normal distribution with mean µ = 186 milligrams per deciliter (mg/dl) and standard deviation ? = 41 mg/dl.
a) Choose an SRS of 100 men from this population. What is the sampling distribution of x?? What is the probability that x takes a value between 183 and 189 mg/dl? This is the probability that x? estimates µ within ± 3 mg/dl.
b) Choose an SRS of 1000 men from this population. Now, what is the probability that x? falls within ± 3 mg/dl of µ? The larger sample is much more likely to give an accurate estimate of µ.
a) = = 186
= = 41/sqrt(100) = 4.1
P(183 < < 189)
= P((183 - )/() < ( - )/( ) < (189 - )/( ))
= P((183 - 186)/4.1 < Z < (189 - 186)/4.1)
= P(-0.73 < Z < 0.73)
= P(Z < 0.73) - P(Z < -0.73)
= 0.7673 - 0.2327
= 0.5346
b) P(183 < < 189)
= P((183 - )/() < ( - )/( ) < (189 - )/( ))
= P((183 - 186)/(41/sqrt(1000)) < Z < (189 - 186)/(41/sqrt(1000)))
= P(-2.31 < Z < 2.31)
= P(Z < 2.31) - P(Z < -2.31)
= 0.9896 - 0.0104
= 0.9792