In: Statistics and Probability
A chemist analyzes seawater samples for two heavy metals: lead and mercury. Past experience indicates that 38% of the samples taken from near the mouth of a river on which numerous industrial plants are located contain toxic levels of lead or mercury; 32% contain toxic levels of lead and 16% contain toxic levels of mercury
What is the probability that a randomly selected sample will not contain lead or will not contain mercury?
Solution:
Given: 38% of the samples taken from near the mouth of a river on which numerous industrial plants are located contain toxic levels of lead or mercury.
That is: P( contain toxic levels of lead or mercury ) = 38% = 0.38
32% contain toxic levels of lead
That is: P( contain toxic levels of lead) = 32% = 0.32
and
16% contain toxic levels of mercury
P( contain toxic levels of mercury) = 16% = 0.16
Let A = contain toxic levels of lead and B = contain toxic levels of mercury
Thus we have:
P( A or B ) = P( A U B ) = 38%
P(A) =0.32
P(B) = 0.16
We have to find:
P( a randomly selected sample will not contain lead or will not contain mercury) = ............?
That is we have to find:
De'Morgans law is:
Thus
Thus first we need to find:
Using addition rule of probability, we get:
Thus