In: Statistics and Probability
In a survey of 615 males ages 18-64, 390 say they have gone to the dentist in the past year.
Construct 90% and 95% confidence intervals for the population proportion. Interpret the results and compare the widths of the confidence intervals. If convenient, use technology to construct the confidence intervals.
Solution :
n = 615
x = 390
= x / n = 390 / 615 = 0.634
1 - = 1 - 0.634 = 0.366
a ) At 90% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 90% = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10
/ 2 = 0.10 / 2 = 0.05
Z/2 = Z0.05 = 1.645
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.645 * (((0.634 * 0.366) / 615 )
= 0.032
A 90 % confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P < + E
0.634 - 0.032 < p < 0.634 + 0.032
0.602 < p < 0.666
The 90% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : ( 0.602 , 0.666 )
b ) At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.960
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.960* (((0.634 * 0.366) / 615 )
= 0.038
A 95 % confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P < + E
0.634 - 0.038 < p < 0.634 + 0.038
0.596 < p < 0.672
The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : ( 0.596 , 0.672 )