In: Statistics and Probability
12. In a survey of 645 males ages 18-64, 394 say they have gone to the dentist in the past year. Construct 90% and 95% confidence intervals for the population proportion. Interpret the results and compare the widths of the confidence intervals. If convenient, use technology to construct the confidence intervals.
The 90% confidence interval for the population proportion p is ( nothing, nothing). (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion p is ( nothing, nothing). (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
Interpret your results of both confidence intervals.
A. With the given confidence, it can be said that the sample proportion of males ages 18-64 who say they have gone to the dentist in the past year is between the endpoints of the given confidence interval. B. With the given confidence, it can be said that the population proportion of males ages 18-64 who say they have gone to the dentist in the past year is between the endpoints of the given confidence interval. C. With the given confidence, it can be said that the population proportion of males ages 18-64 who say they have gone to the dentist in the past year is not between the endpoints of the given confidence interval.
Which interval is wider? The 90% confidence interval The 95% confidence interval
From the given data sample no.of male under the age group 18 - 64 selected at random = n= 645
No. of male under the age group 18- 64 in the sample visited the dentist in the past one year= x=394
sample proportion of male under the age group 18-64 visited the dentist in the past one yeat p= x/n =394/645 = 0.6109
sample proportion of male under the age 18-64 didnt visit the dentist in the past one year q=1-p = 0.3891
1.a) 90% confidence interval for the population proportion of male under the age 18-64 visited dentist in the past one year is p -1.645x(pxq /n) P p + 1.645x(pxq / n)
0.6109 - 1.645 x0.019197 P 0.6109 + 1.645x 0.019197
0.5793 P 0.6425
90 % chance that the proporton of male under the age 18-64 visited dentist in the past one year is (0.579 , 0.6425) i.e it lies in between 57.9% to 64.25%
b) 95% confidence limits for the proportion of male under the age group 18- 64 visited the dentist in the last one year is given as
p -1.96x(pxq /n) P p + 1.96x(pxq / n)
0.6109 - 1.96 x0.019197 P 0.6109 + 1.96x 0.019197
0.5732 P 0.6485
95% confidence limits for the proportion of male under the age 18-64 visited the dentist in the last one year is (0.5732 , 0.6485) i.e it lies in between 57.32% to 64.85%
comparison of width of 1a and 1b
we observe that width of 95% confidence interval is more wider than that of 90% confidence interval
2.a) 90% confidence limits for the population proportion of male under the age 18-64 didnot visit the dentist in the last one year
q -1.645x(pxq /n) Q q + 1.645x(pxq / n)
0.3891 - 1.645 x0.019197 P 0.3891 + 1.645x 0.019197
0.3575 P 0.42067
90% confidence limits for the population proportion of male under the age 18-64 didnot visit the dentist in the last one year is ( 0.3575, 0.42067) i.e it lies in between 35.75% to 42.067%
b) 95 % confidence interval for the population proportion of male under the age 18-64 didnot visit the dentist in the last one year is given as
q -1.96x(pxq /n) Q q+ 1.96x(pxq / n)
0.3891 - 1.96 x0.019197 Q 0.3891+ 1.96x 0.019197
0.35147 Q 0.42672
95% confidence limits for the population proportion of male under the age group 18-64 didnot visit the dentist in the last one year is ( 0.35147, 0.42672) i.e it lies in between 35.147% to 42.67%
comparison between 2a) and 2b)
We observe that width of 95% confidence limits is more wider than that of 90% confidence limits
conclusion
A. sample proportion of male under the age 18-64 visit the dentist in the last one year is 61.09%
sample proportion of male in the age group 18-64 didnot visit the dentist in the last one year is 38.91%
B. 90% confidence limits for the population proportion of male under 18-64 visit the dentist in the last one year is (57.93%, 64.25%)
similarly 95% confidence limits for the same is (57.32%, 64.85)
95% confidence limits are more wider than 90% limits
C. 90% confidence interval for the population proportion of male in the age group 18-64 did not visit the dentist in the last one year is (35.75% , 42.067%)
similarly 95% confidence interval for the same is (35.14% ,42.67%)
In this case also we observe that 95% confidence interval is more wider than that of 90% confidence interval
D. 95% confidence interval is wider than 90% confidence interval in both the cases