In: Statistics and Probability
In studying his campaign plans, Mr. Singleton wishes to estimate the difference between men's and women's views regarding his appeal as a candidate. He asks his campaign manager to take two random independent samples and find the 98% confidence interval for the difference. A random sample of 653 male voters and 560 female voters was taken. 226 men and 271 women favored Mr. Singleton as a candidate. Find this confidence interval.
Step 1 of 3:
Find the point estimate that should be used in constructing the confidence interval. Round your answer to three decimal places.
Step 2 of 3:
Find the margin of error. Round your answer to six decimal places.
Step 3 of 3:
Construct the 98% confidence interval. Round your answers to three decimal places.
1)
Sample proportion 1 = 226 / 653 = 0.346
Sample proportion 1 = 271 / 560 = 0.484
Point estimate = 1 - 2 = 0.346 - 0.484 = -0.138
2)
Pooled proportion = (x1 + x2) / (n1 + n2)
= (226 + 271) / (653 + 560)
= 0.410
Margin of error = Z/2 * sqrt [ ( 1 - ) * ( 1 / n1 + 1/n2) ]
= 2.3263 * sqrt [ 0.410 * ( 1 - 0.410) * ( 1 / 653 + 1 / 560) ]
= 0.065897
3)
98% confidence interval for p is
1 - 2 - ME < p1 - p2 < 1 - 2 + ME
-0.138 - 0.065897 < p1 - p2 < -0.138 + 0.065897
-0.204 < p1 - p2 < -0.072
98% CI is ( -0.204 , -0.072 )