In: Statistics and Probability
suppose we are interested in bidding on a piece of land and we know one other bidder is interested. The seller announced that the highest bid in excess of $10,000 will be accepted. Assume that the competitors bid x is a random variable that is uniformly distributed between $10,000 and $15,400.
A) suppose you bid $12,000. What is the probability
that your bid will be accepted (to 2 decimals)?
B) suppose you bid $14,000. What is the probability that your bid
will be accepted (to 2 decimals)?
C) what amount should you bid to maximize the probability that you
get the property (in dollars)?
D) suppose that you know someone is willing to pay $16,000 for the
property. you are considering bidding the amount shown in part (c)
but a friend suggests you bid $13,000. If your objective is to
maximize the expected profit, what is your bid?
What is the expected profit for this bid (in dollars)?